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\ I I ,, ~I v B ' Vf ~ ~ MICS EW Consumer and Food Economics Research Division Agricultural Research Servic•~ UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE lliill!lliillmlillliiillilm~IIR ANNUAL OUTLOOK ISSUE CONTENTS D447A .Uf?Of.-Er;ry OF Tl w UPP4?•.· 'A.~ 115 l!:Jod UI'.Jvt.,:cny Of- I L. Page AT G-n-L£.N 5b'O"R u '' 1~l.JLI', , A THE CONTENTS OF THIS ISSUE -------------------------------- 3 CONSUMPTION, PRICES, AND EXPENDITURES FOR FOOD------- 3 HOUSEHOLD USE OF CONVENIENCE FOODS -------------------- 6 PROTECTING CONSUMERS THROUGH RESEARCH---------------- 8 EXPENDITURES FOR FOOD AWAY FROM HOME----------------- 10 A STATE PROGRAM OF CONSUMER PROTECTION--------------- 12 TRENDS IN RETAIL PRICES ----------------------------------- 15 THE FEDERAL MEDICARE PROGRAM -------------------------- 17 CONTINUING CONSUMER PROTECTION AT THE FOOD AND DRUG ADMINISTRATION------------------------------------------ 20 SOME NEW USDA PUBLICATIONS ------------------------------ 22 CONSUMER PRICES --------------~---------------------------- 23 COST OF FOOD AT HOME --- ---------------------------------- 24 ARS 62-5 December 1967 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW is a quarterly report on research of the Consumer and Food Economics Research Division and on information from other sources relating to economic aspects of family living. It is developed by Dr. Emma G. Holmes, research family economist, with the cooperation of other staff members of the Division. It is prepared primarily for home economics agents and home economics specialists of the Cooperative Extension Service. THE CONTENTS OF THIS ISSUE This issue of FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW includes condensed versions of several papers presented at the 45th Annual Agricultural Outlook Conference, which was held in Was_hington, D. C,, November 13 to 16, 1967. If you wish the complete text of any of the papers, send your request to the Consumer and Food Economics Research Division, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Federal Center Building, Hyattsville, Maryland 20782. Please give the titles of the papers desired, and include your ZIP code number with your return address. The following Outlook Conference papers, not included in this issue, may be of interest to home economists. Single free copies may be obtained from the address given above. PRACTICES IN THE USE OF HOME FREEZERS, by Ruth Redstrom, USDA NEW BLS STANDARD BUDGETS AND LIVING COST INDEXES, by Helen H. Lamale, U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN MEAT INSPECTION, by Robert K. Somers, USDA FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION CONSUMER PROTECTION ACTIVITIES, by Gale P. Gotschall, Federal Trade Commission HIGHWAY SAFETY, by Werner Siems, U.S. Department of Transportation PEOPLE IN CHANGING RURAL AMERICA--WHAT IS AHEAD? by Max F. Jordan, USDA NATIONAL ECONOMIC SITUATION AND OUTLOOK FOR 1968, by John W. Kendrick, George Washington University A NEW LOOK AT THE WORLD FOOD SITUATION, by Martin E. Abel, USDA CONSUMPTION, PRICES, AND EXPENDITURES FOR FOOD Stephen J. Hiemstra, U.S. Department of Agriculture Food Expenditures and Prices Food expenditures in 1967 are expected to total about $96-1/2 billion, up from $93 billion in 1966. Much of the increase is due to higher volume of purchases, with only a small increase in prices. In 1968, a similar gain in expenditures is likely, due mostly to price increases with little increase in volume. Retail food prices rose 2 percent during third quarter 1967. The increase more than offset the decline that set in late in 1966 and carried into the second quarter of 1967. Third-quarter food prices averaged about 1 percent higher in 1967 than in 1966. All of the price increase was due to 5-percent higher prices for food away from home. DECEMBER 1967 3 Prices at food stores were practically the same as a year earlier. On balance, food prices likely will average about stable or perhaps even slightly higher in the fourth quarter than in the third quarter. For 1967 as a whole, retail prices in food stores are averaging about steady with 1966. Prices for all livesto.ck food products are averaging about 1 percent lower than in 1966. Prices are substantially lower for eggs, poultry, and pork products, but higher for dairy products and fish (fig. 1). Prices for food from crops are averaging about 1 percent higher than in 1966. Higher prices for potatoes, fresh fruits, sugar and sweets, and cereal and bakery products are more than offsetting lower prices for processed citrus fruits, coffee, and fats and oils (fig. 2). Prices for food purchased in restaurants and other away-from-home establishments are averaging about 5 percent higher than in 1966. These prices represent about one-fifth of the total retail Food Price Index. Overall food prices are advancing about 1 percent in 1967, compared with a more than 3 percent increase for nonfood consumer items. Retail food prices likely will increase noticeably in 1968, reflecting some increase in prices for farm products and advances in farm-retail margins. These margins stabilized during the first three quarters of 1967 at about 1 percent below the fourth quarter 1966 level. However, widening farm-retail margins are likely in 1968 because of expected increases in wages and prices for other factor inputs of food marketing firms. Uncertainties about the volume of farm marketings and amount of increase in nonfood prices make it difficult to tie down a precise estimate of food prices in 1968. The best estimate at this time indicates a rise of 2 to 3 percent from 196 7. This implies little change in output of food and an increase in nonfood consumer prices of around 3 percent. Supply and Utilization of Farm Food Commodities Total civilian food use in 1967 is advancing more than 2 percent from the 1966 level. Military food takings also are larger but exports and nonfood uses are declining. Utilization of farm commodities in 196 7 likely will total about the same as in 1966. Use of crop food products is less than in 1966, but use of livestock products is much larger. While total utilization of farm food commodities has been stable in 1967, net production is expanding about 7 percent. Larger imports also are contributing to supplies. Consequently, total stocks of food at the end of December likely will be about one-tenth larger in 1967 than in 1966, and slightly above the 1965 level. Total use of farm food is expected to turn up again in 1968. Most of the increase is expected to be for crop foods, reflecting in part the large carryover from 1967 crops. Exports are expected to expand and military food takings again may be larger, leaving civilian food use in 1968 not much different from the 1967 level. 4 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW Per Capita Food Consumption Per capita food consumption is increasing about 11/2 percent in 1967, but little change is expected in 1968. Consumption in 1967 is much larger than in 1966 for beef, pork, poultry, eggs, citrus fruits, potatoes, and fresh vegetables. Per capita consumption is not likely to be larger in 1968 for any of these products except chicken. Consumption is lower in 1967 than in 1966 for dairy products, veal, lamb, deciduous fruits, and melons. In 1968 veal and lamb consumption again is expected to decline. Per capita consumption in 196 7 is totaling around 1, 434 pounds on a retail weightequivalent basis, 12 pounds more than in 1966. Consumption is averaging about 3, 180 calories per capita per day. The increase in consumption is resulting in a per capita increase of 3 percent in vitamin A value and 5 percent in ascorbic acid. Part of the increase in food consumption in 1967 is due to an increase in donation programs. The USDA direct food distribution program alone is accounting for about 1 pound of the 12- pound increase. RETAIL FOOD PRICES: RET All FOOD PRICES: SELECTED LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS SELECTED CROP PRODUCTS ~1950-------.-------.-------.-------, ~ OF 1950 160 140 120 100 1!. 80 1960 1965 1970 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 NUl. Uti H7t · 47 t 10 ) ECONOMIC llfUAII:CH U II \l iC E L.,.U;:•; _L:c..:.;OI:;".:;':..':.":c:;;"_';'_:O;;_:A': O:;~:cC::U_'::T_U:;O;.I: ______..: c• ;_·..":;_c":...;.':;".: _·_"::..:"..;_':.:1_ :•:.<.:O.:;::_O;MM:;".: _.::."':.'.:.•::":.::";_:";:;'_"::':"::. .J Fig. 1 Fig. 2 Consumption of livestock products in the first 3 quarters was 3 percent larger in 1967 than in 1966. Meat, poultry, and eggs each participated in the rise. Meat consumption likely is dropping nearer to the year-earlier level in the fourth quarter. In 1968 it may average around the 1967 level. Broiler meat consumption likely will continue above 1967 levels throughout 1968, but turkey consumption likely will be lower. Sharp price declines for eggs are resulting in a cut in the egg-laying flock, so per capita egg consumption likely will be lower in the second half of 1968. Milk production in 1967 is totaling about the same as in 1966, but consumption of fluid milk and most other dairy products is continuing significantly lower. The drop is a reaction to higher retail prices and a continuing decline in demand. Little further decline is expected in consumption of dairy products in 1968. USDA donations of dairy DECEMBER 1967 5 products were increased considerably in 196 7 when stocks of manufactured dairy products accumulated at support price levels. Per capita consumption of fruits in 196 7 is well above that in each of the previous 4 years, due primarily to a much larger citrus crop. Most deciduous fruit crops were down in 1967, and a smaller crop of citrus fruits is in prospect this winter. As a result, supplies of fruit this winter are expected to be smaller. Higher prices are likely for most items, both fresh and processed. HOUSEHOLD USE OF CONVENIENCE FOODS Gordon E .. Bivens, U.S. Department of Agriculture This paper discusses changes between 1955 and 1965 in the quantities used and amounts spent for 32 convenience foods. "Convenience foods" here refer to "foods which have services added to the basic ingredients to reduce the amount of preparation required in the home. "Y Changes in Use of Individual Foods The quantity of canned, condensed soups used went up 30percent during the 10-year period, and dehydrated soups 100 percent. Both quantity and expenditure dropped for biscuit, roll, and muffin mixes, but rose for bakery products other than bread. Ready-toeat cereals scored about a 30 percent increase in quantity used in spite of higher prices reflected in the roughly 90 percent increase in expenditure. The quantity of instant coffee used rose 125 percent, while expenditures for it went up only 33 percent, indicating a price responsiveness for this product. Some convenience foods made even larger percentage gains than those above--for example, frozen potatoes, frozen and powdered fruit ades, and fresh commercial juices, all of which tripled or quadrupled in use. However, these items were being consumed in fairly small quantities in 1955 so even a small increase would appear large when expressed as a percent . . !/ The convenience foods included in this analysis were: Canned and frozen fruits and vegetables ; canned, frozen, and fresh fruit juice; canned vegetable juice; frozen, canned, and dehydrated potatoes and sweetpotatoes; potato chips and sticks; ground beef; frankfurters ; other lunch meat; mixtures with and without meat; canned and condensed soups; dry and dehydrated soups; pancake mixes; biscuit, roll, and muffin mixes; cake mixes; bakery bread; other bakery products; ready-to-eat breakfast cereals; instant coffee; frozen and powdered fruit ades and punches; canned and dry milk; frozen desserts; pudding and pie fillings ; and icings. 6 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW Changes in Expenditures for 32 Convenience Foods Changes in expenditures for convenience foods between 1955 and 1965 reflect changes in both price and quantity bought. The average expenditure in a week in spring for the 32 convenience foods combined increased from $6.12 per household in 1955 to $8.13 in 1965 --or 33 percent (fig. 1). The expenditure per person increased from $1. 84 in 1955 to $2.47 in 1965--or 34 percent. During the 10-year period, farm families increased their expenditure per person for convenience foods used in a week more than did urban families--61 and 27 percent, respectively (fig. 2). However, the amount farm families spent for these foods was still considerably less than what urban families spent ( $1. 98 and $2. 58 per person, respectively). EXPENDITURES FOR CONVENIENCE FOODS 1 WEEK IN SPRING Per Household Per Penon IHCLtiOUUCO.WVfHiflf(f 1'"0001. Fig. 1 ~1955 .1965 S8 .13 INCREASE IN SPENDING FOR CONVENIENCE FOODS Per Person , 1955-65 61,; 36,; Fig. 2 DECEMBER 1967 Families in the South increased their spending for convenience foods 56 percent, compared with· 35 percent in the Northeast, 24percent in the NorthCentralRegion, and 23 in the West (fig. 3). In all regions the percentage change was larger in farm than nonfarm areas. Families with low incomes increased their .expenditures for the 32 convenience foods more than higher income families. For those in the lowest one-third of the income scale the increase was about 47percent, compared with a 28 percent increase for families in the highest one-t}lird of the scale. This increase for low-income families may be partly because single-person INCREASE IN SPENDING FOR CONVENIENCE FOODS Per Person by Region , 1955-65 IHCUIOUUCOiflfflll/lll(fiOOOS. /HU:II'IHSI"It/01 (;. Fig. 3 7 households--many of whom have low incomes--were included in the income groupings in 1965 but not in 1955. Expenditures for Convenience Foods as a Percentage of the Food Budget Convenience foods are not just frills, but a substantial and growing part of the food budget.. Expenditures for the 32 convenience foods studied averaged about 27 percent of the total amount spent for food used at home in a week in U.S. households in 1955, and 30 percent in 1965. In urban households convenience foods took 26 percent of the total amount spent for a week's food in 1955 and30percent in 1965;in rural nonfarmhouseholds they took 29and 32 percent, respectively. In farm households the expenditure for convenience foods was 33 and 37 percent of the week's total food bill in the respective years. This does not mean that farmers used more convenience foods than others. But because they raise about 30percent of their food supply, they spend a smaller amount for food, and convenience items are a larger proportion of this expenditure. Convenience Foods in 1965 Spending for convenience foods in 1965 was highly correlated with income--that is, the higher the income the larger the amount spent per person for these foods. However, income affected spending for convenience foods less in 1965 than in 1955. The use of convenience foods is becoming more alike among U. S. regions and urbanizations (urban, rural nonfarm, and farm areas), as is spending for food as a whole. Somewhat of a "homogenization'.' of food patterns seems to be taking place. PROTECTING CONSUMERS THROUGH RESEARCH Robert J. Anderson, U.S. Department of Agriculture USDA has come a long way in consumer protection. We have learned a great deal. But we find that the more we learn, the more we need to know. Salmonella is a case in point. This organism is a common cause of food poisoning. Poultry products are especially vulnerable to contamination, so we have devoted much effort to helping the poultry industry overcome the problem. We developed simplified laboratory tests for detecting salmonella, and methods for pasteurizing dried eggs, egg whites, and whole eggs. In 1966 we made pasteurization mandatory for all egg products moving in interstate commerce. Poultry processors have sought to reduce contamination by using filtered air in their plants and minimizing exposure of products to plant workers. 8 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW These efforts have helped hold down salmonella contamination, but we are going to have to expand our attack. Salmonella organisms are carried by man, animals, birds, even insects. It is doubtful that they can ever be removed from the environment entirely. Our best bet probably is to establish a salmonella-free pathway from farm to market to consumer--to find ways of breaking the cycle by which salmonella organisms perpetuate themselves. Studies conducted in cooperation with industry confirmed that animal feeds, especially those containing animal byproducts, often are contaminated with salmonella. Animals carrying salmonella organisms in their intestines are slaughtered and their intestines are sent to a rendering plant to be added to feed. If the rendered products are not completely free of salmonella, the disease chain goes on. USDA is currently inspecting rendering plants in various States. Soon it will issue standards recommending sanitary procedures for feeds and feed ingredients, and requiring product testing in rendering and feed-processing plants. USDA and the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare have asked the National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council to conduct a thorough study of salmonella to determine its economic significance in terms of animal and human health, the principal carriers, and new methods of preventing contamination. Another problem causing increasing concern is avian leukosis. Leukosis infections in poultry flocks have been rising steadily. In past months USDA inspectors in the big poultry-producing regions of the Southeast have had to condemn about 3 percent of the birds sent to market--about one-fourth of these for avian leukosis. Although avi~ leukosis is a form of cancer, it is not one that can be transmitted to man. Federal regulations require that birds infected with any disease be kept off the market, and condemnations are being made on that basis--not because of the nature of the disease. Other USDA research affecting consumers is the work on mycotoxins, which are poisons produced by molds. No one paid much attention to them until 6 years ago, when moldy peanut meal fed to turkeys in England killed about 100, 000 of the birds. We now know that mycotoxins are poisonous if taken in large amounts and cause cancer tumors if taken over a period of time even in small amounts. Mycotoxins have been detected on many crops, but most often on peanuts. USDA, the Food and Drug Administration, and th.e peanut industry have worked together to develop methods for detecting toxic peanuts and keeping them from use as food or feed. A manmade health hazard we've all heard about is pesticides. The immediate problems of pesticide use are now generally understood but less is known about the longterm effects. We are working to fill that gap in knowledge. There can be little question that pesticides are here to stay. Therefore USDA's goal must be absolute protection from pesticide contamination and total elimination of pesticide accidents. One way USDA helps insure pesticide safety is by registration of pesticides. All pesticides sold across State lines must be registered with USDA. Manufacturers must prove the safety and worth of a material before it is ever marketed. 9 DECEMBER 1967 USDA also oversees labeling of pesticide products. Recent regulations require that warning and caution statements be prominently placed on the front panel of the labels, printed in specified type sizes, and written in language that is easy to understand. The new regulations also require the USDA registration number on labels, so the buyer knows he's getting a federally regulated product. These labeling regulations became effective 1 year ago. Since then, all labels requiring USDA sanction have been reviewed. USDA took the lead in the creation of what is now the Federal Committee on Pest Control. This committee reviews the pest-control plans of all Federal agencies, including USDA's cooperative programs. One result of cooperative Federal efforts is more complete reporting and investigation of accidents involving pesticides. The resulting data help identify weaknesses in research and educational programs. At USDA's request, also, the National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council has agreed to review the use of and need for persistent pesticides. Another problem is the accumulation of animal wastes around large feedlots and dairy operations. These wastes give off offensive odors, cause stream pollution, and may be reaching ground water supplies. USDA scientists are studying the problem and hope to find answers that will satisfy both the feedlot operator and his neighbors. USDA's relationships with other Government agencies on projects involving human health have always been rather informal. Now we have proposed that USDA, the Department of the Interior, and the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare establish a Federal Committee on Food Safety, with joint responsibility for the wholesomeness of the Nation's food. If this committee is approved, we hope it will review and make recommendations on present problems, anticipate future problems, speed up exchange of information between the Departments, and encourage exchange among international, Federal, and State agencies. The committee could become a clearinghouse for such problems as bacterial contamination, chemical residues in foods, and environmental pollution of food and feed. EXPENDITURES FOR FOOD AWAY FROM HOlVIE Corinne LeBovit, U.S. Department of Agriculture Of the approximately $30 billion spent in a year for food and beverages served away from home, about six-tenths are spent in such places as restaurants, lunchrooms, cafeterias , and refreshment stands; two-tenths (in retail prices) in institutions such as hospitals, colleges, homes for the aged or children, and camps; one-tenth in hotels and motels; and one-tenth in places like drug and department stores, delicatessens, movies, private clubs, and factories. 10 FAMILY ECO.NOMICS REVIEW Trends in Expense for Eating Out The total consumer bill for food bought and eaten away from home (including alcoholic beverages) has risen rapidly. Expenditure per person increased steadily since the early 1950's, accelerating after 1963. When these expenditures are expressed in constant dollars, however, the per person amount decreased up to 1961 but increased steadily after 1963. The 1966 average was slightly above the earlier peak of 1953. Prices for eating out rose faster than expenditures up to the mid-1960's. Prices of meals in public eating places are greatly affected by nonfood costs such as wages and salaries, rents and other property costs, taxes, maintenance, and equipment. The proportion of total consumer expenditure for food and beverages that went for meals and other food and beverages eaten out, according to Department of Commerce data, was about 20 percent over most of the period since 1953--though it has increased some since 1964. Apparently families adjusted to higher prices by keeping fairly constant the percentage of the food dollar spent for eating out. According to two national food consumption surveys of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, families spent an average of about $6 a week in the spring of 1965 and $5 a week in the spring of 1955 on food and beverages bought and eaten away from home. This would be $97 per person for the year 1965 and $74 for 1955, assuming spending in other seasons was the same as in spring. (Eating out was probably somewhat understated in the surveys because ( 1) households in which no one had eaten at least 10 meals at home during the week were not interviewed; (2) less eating out may have been done in spring when the data were collected than in other seasons; and (3) the person interviewed may have underreported how much other family members spent.) Mostof theincreasedspending for food away from home between 1955 and 1965 was for meals, little of it for snacks. The proportion of families reporting snacks bought and eaten away from home decreased from 6 out of 10 in 1955 to about 5 out of 10 in 1965. However, consumption of snack-type foods at home increased. Households reported considerably higher home consumption in 1965 of soft drinks, punches and ades, potato chips, crackers, cookies, doughnuts, ice cream, candy, and peanut butter. The move to the suburbs, increased proportion of children in the population, and popularity of TV may have led to a shift from snacking at the candy store and lunch counter to snacking at home. Differences Among Population Groups Urban-rural differences. --Urban families spent a larger amount and a higher percentage of their food dollar for meals away from home than did farm families, in both 1965 and 1955 (see fig.). However , farm families more than doubled their expenditure for meals out during this period, while city-dwellers increased it by one-fourth. Thus, farm family spending for food away from home was much more like that of urban fami-lies in 1965 than in 1955. DECEMBER 1967 11 Regional differences. --Spending for meals away from home in 1965 was highest in the Northeast and West, lowest in the South. About the same ·proportion of households in each of the regions bought such meals in a week (55 to 60 percent). Therefore, the higher expenditures in . Northeast and West meant that these families either bought more meals or more expensive meals. Southern families increased their spending for meals eaten out much more than those in other regions between 1955 and 1965. Their spending. rose about 75 COST OF MEALS EATEN OUT, IY URIANIZATION, 1955 AND 1965 Per Household per Week, Spring $5.10 ·-- lULU MOMFAIM U .S7 ~1965 ~1955 $UI percent, compared with 30percent in the Northeast and West and 20 percent in the North Central Region. Income differences. --High-income families not only spent more than low.:..income families for food away from home, but also allotted a larger proportion of their food dollar to it. Eating out took 26 percent of the food and beverage dollar of those with incomes over $10, 000, compared with 9 percent for those with less than $3, 000. Highincome families spent about 10 times as much for meals eaten out but less than 5 times as much for snacks as did low-income families. Meals Without Direct Expense About one-third of U.S. families had some free meals during the survey week in spring 1965. Most of these meals were received as guests in other people's homes, some as guests at public eating places. They also included meals paid from expense accounts and those received free at work or school. The proportion of families reporting free meals was highest in rural nonfarm areas, lowest on farms. Somewhat more one-person than larger households reported receiving free meals. A STATE PROGRAM OF CONSUMER PROTECTION Faith Prior, University of Vermont In 1963 it occurred to me that the most useful thing I could do in my job was to bring myself and the people for whom I had an educational responsibility up to date in consumer awareness, and to establish some mechanism for getting information to the public. It was not easy to sell a traditionally production-oriented agency the idea of a 12 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW consumer-oriented function. However,. we were fortunate in receiving the University's support . . The administration was willing to try the project on an experimental basis and chart the rest of the course from there. The original proposal was for the establishmentof a Consumer Information Clearinghouse. The proposal listed the objectives of the clearinghouse thus: 1. To publish a monthly newsletter for the Extension staff and a bimonthly publication for the general public. 2. To serve as a clearinghouse for the referral of consumer problems to other agencies, or to suggest suitable lines of action in problem situations. 3. To sponsor and arrange a public statewide annual conference on consumer information. 4. To represent the consumer point of view to persons, groups, or agencies; to represent the production and marketing point of view to consumers. We did build in a few safeguards. We established a clearinghouse advisory committee with representatives from medicine, commerce and economics, agriculture, marketing, political science, and the State Food Safety Committee. We arranged that all copy for the newsletter for the public, DOLLARS AND DECISIONS, should be cleared by ' the University's attorney before publication. We have done each of the things we set out to do. Our staff newsletter is called CONSUMER CONFIDENTIAL. DOLLARS AND DECISIONS goes to a mailing list of about 12, 000 bimonthly. We have just held our fourth annual Consumer Day at the University. Last year two counties combined to hold a regional Consumer Day. A second pair of counties joined them this year and it appears that this trend will continue. We have a weekly news column that goes to every paper in the State and to certain other publications, a weekly radio tape, and a monthly TV program. If time permitted, we would go to a weekly TV show, as the response warrants it. I have addressed more than 12,000 people-in-audiences, and the clearinghouse has distributed over 255, 000 publications in the past 4 years. We have answered literally thousands of questions about consumer problems. Some were questions of fact or opinion; some could be referred to a specific agency. For some, there was no answer except, "I'm sorry, there doesn't seem to be anything that can be done, " or "perhaps a private attorney could suggest something." Being in charge of conference programs makes it possible to work as a catalyst for bringing into contact points of view that are--or should be--synergistic. For example, Vermont had no compulsory meat inspection laws. The forum that Consumers Day afforded helped make it possible to move through the legislature a bill remedying this situation. It was also at Consumers Day that the Governor was given a first-hand hearing of the public voice .speaking out on the lack of other statutory protection~ in the c?nsumer field. As a result, the Governor's office asked the Consumer InformatiOn Clearmghouse to draw up legislation which would provide remedies suitable for Vermont. DECEMBER 1967 13 With the approval and cooperation of the Director of Extension this new venture was undertaken, aligning consumer laws that had been enacted in other States with the problems observed in ours, and bringing the various elements within the framework of the Federal Trade Commission Act. The bill as finally drafted was broad in concept, making all "unfair methods of competition in commerce and unfair or deceptive acts or practices in commerce" unlawful. In addition, certain specific practices were cited and remedies provided. For example, the act provides that the buyer may annul an installment sales contract by certified mail postmarked the first business day after the transaction, if he has not received a substantial portion of the goods or services. Whatever amount the buyer had paid on the purchase must be refunded, and any papers indicating an indebtedness must be returned. The act also provides that the holder in due course of evidence of indebtedness in connection with a retail sales transaction should be "subject to all defenses of the buyer which would be available to the buyer in an action on a simple contract. " This was included as a protection to buyers--especially buyers of home improvements who found themselves complaining to the contractor that the aluminum siding job had not been properly completed, only to be told that the contractor was no longer interested because the note had been sold to a bank. The bank, when contacted, would reply that they were in the money business, not the siding business, and that payment was due as scheduled. Under the new law, the bank would be responsible for all terms of the original contract. The act also made bait advertising unlawful. It gave the attorney general authority to restrain prohibited acts, gave the details of such prohibitions, outlined the extent of civil investigation authorized and penalties for falsification of evidence, indicated penalties for noncompliance with injunctions, and provided for cooperation with State's attorneys. The Consumer Information Clearinghouse was designated to "carry out a consumer education program designed to complement the investigative and enforcement duties of the attorney general provided for in this act. " The two bills were first on the desks of legislators in January 1967. All of the news media were used to make the public aware of the intent and content of the bills and the kinds of practices the law was intended to correct. We presented real cases as effectively as possible, also the bills themselves--what each section said and what it meant. I appeared many times before legislative committees and the committee of the whole, on the invitation of the chairmen or of commissioners whose departments would be involved in administering legislation. Testimony was fully reported in press, radio, and TV. On April 17, 1967, the Fair Business Practices Act was passed unanimously and signed into law. Within 10 days the attorney general had proceeded against the first company to have charges brought under the new law. On July 1, 1967, a Consumer Protection Office was opened in Burlington under the direction of an assistant attorney general. We have worked in the close cooperation specified under the new law. Taking July's settled cases as a base, August's settled cases showed an increase of 236 percent and September's almost 300 percent. Our phone calls have dropped about 75 percent during that period. 14 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW We have used all of the media to inform the public of the existence of the potential services of the new office. Appearances in the media have led to many requests to speak to groups. At some of these the assistant attorney general and I have made joint appearances, some we have parcelled out between us. People~ interested. We continue to use our Consumer Day programs to uncover problems that may need official attention. During last month's forums a few such areas were: gaps in the meat inspection law, referral selling, speedometer rollbacks, telephone soliciting, classified directory listings, auto transmissions, backdating of contracts to avoid "next business day" cancellations. County agents uncover problems, refer them to the clearinghouse, and they are passed on to the Consumer Protection Office. Information is also channeled outward through the county offices. Some complaints goto the Federal Trade Commission. FTC attorneys have appeared at every Consumer Day program, and a two-way communication seems to be functioning effectively. Similar relationships exist with the Food and Drug Administration, Post Office Department, Federal Housing, the President's Committee on the Consumer Interest, and Association of Better Business Bureaus; such State departments as Banking and Insurance, Agriculture, Health, Welfare, Taxes, Recreation; and local Chambers of Commerce, Merchants' Bureaus, and Credit Bureaus. TRENDS IN RET AIL PRICES James C. Daugherty, Bureau of Labor Statistics The slowdownin the economyduringlate 1966 and early 1967appears tohave ended. By most indications we are experiencing a resumption of the expansion that began in 1961. This is being accompanied by price increases at rates higher than most authorities consider "acceptable" or "moderate. " Many of us who work with these figures every day fondly--and not altogether in jest--look back upon the early 1960's, when prices were rising less than 1.5 percent a year, as the "good old days." Certainly there is no prospect that that experience will be repeated any time soon. On the other hand, there is no immediate danger that we will have the kind of price inflation we had in the early 1940's or in 1951 after the outbreak of the Korean war. Prices in 1966.--During most of 1966 the economy operated at the highest capacity in more than a decade, and rising demand made prices rise considerably (see fig.). Interest rates on home mortgages rose to record levels. Rates for conventional first mortgages on new homes rose from 5. 8 to nearly 6. 5 percent. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) index for mortgage interest rates rose 12.5 percent during 1966. This item accounted for more than one-tenth of the 3.3 percent rise in the all-items Consumer Price Index (CPI). Food prices increased 3.8 percent in 1966. Prices of consumer durables, which had declined in 1965 chiefly as a result of cuts in Federal excise taxes, rose 15 DECEMBER 1967 fractionally. Apparel and footwear prices rose at a faster rate than before, at first because of increased civilian and military demand and later as a reflection of increasing labor costs. Prices of gasoline and cigarettes rose due to "conventional" influences and to rising State and local excise taxes. Service costs increased an average of nearly 5 percent in 1966, and accounted for nearly one-half of the year's change in the CPl. Medical care services jumped about 8 percent, led by an increase of about 16 percent in hospital room rates and 8 percent in physicians' fees. The rise in hospital rates reflected the rise in demand forhospital :Jare and wage increases for nurses, technicians, and custodial and supporting personnel. Other service costs also rose sharply in 1966 and appear to have continued upward to the present. Among those increasing most are home maintenance and repairs, domestic services, laundry and drycleaning, barber and beauty shop services, and movie admissions. This can generally be attributed to the tight labor situation, which enabled service workers to gain substantial wage increases. Prices in 1967 and 1968.--The rise in consumer prices slowed down somewhat between November 1966 and February 1967, gaining 0. 3 percent for the 4-month period. The short-lived stability was due primarily to decreases in food prices, which dropped nearly 2 percent from their mid-1966 high levels. Prices resumed their uptrend in April 1967. During the 6 months ending in September they rose 1.8 percent. The September CPI was 2.6 percent above thatof September 1966. Higher service costs accounted for about two-fifths of the 6-month rise. Apparel prices, which rose more than usual in September, gave a substantial push to the CPl. Food prices advanced 1. 5 percent since March. Prices of consumer durables moved up during most of 1967, led by advances for used cars and furniture. Appliance prices also appear to be edging upward. There seems little doubt that the economy is again moving ahead. The only question is how strong the gain will be in the coming months. Signs point to a moderate growth rather than a sharp upsurge. Consumers have increased their rate of spending during the past several months. However, there are no present indications that they will go on a buying spree anytime soon. While there is not much likelihood of a "demand-pull," chances are that a "costpush" will be dominant in the price picture in the months ahead. Wage increases negotiated during the first 6 months of 1967 averaged 5percent or more annually (over the life of the contracts). The index of labor cost per unit of output in manufacturing is about 7 percent above its spring 1966 level. It is reasonable to expect that some of this increase in wage costs will be reflected in retail prices. In 1968 price increases of the four major components of the CPI will all exceed those of 196 7. Consumer service costs should advance at a slightly higher rate in 1968 than in 1967 and continue to be the dominant factor in the rise in the all-items CPl. Somewhat higher costs for mortgage interest, medical care, personal care, and household services will push these indexes higher. 16 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW Higher apparel prices are likely to come chiefly from increasing costs, although consumer demand will remain high. During 1967 much of the rise in apparel prices has come from widening retail margins. This trend will continue as operating costs increase. Rising labor costs in apparel manufacturing will continue to push manufacturers' prices up. Prices of consumer durables are expected to advance considerably in 1968, reflecting higher costs and gains in demand. Retail prices of appliances, radios, and TV sets are already responding to increases in factory prices. Demand is apparently strong enough to sustain retail price increases for these items. Higher costs at the factory and in distribution will result in higher prices for furniture and tires. New and used car prices will rise at least as much as in 196 7. ,t•.1• I .,'l It 0 0 I) >I-- I CONSUMER PRICE INDEXES: COMMODITIES AND SERVICES ·!seasonally Adjusted! •t .•· '' ,.. •·•~ I - '1 "'\ ~ "' •• , ... . .... ... ol-- . ' ~· v .... " ' ... ' .. .. .. . .. 0 / ' It~ SEIIIICES ...... Vr~~ /.,..,.......... If- [/-"' ,oll-L --~-~~ ~v ~ 01~ 1/...(_~lll!S' :;..~ ,_...:::!-.. IONDUIIILIS LESS FOOD' ' I I L I I) " " II II 10 10 1960 196\ 196' 1961 1964 196'1 \CJ66 \961 1968 UNti(Q SU I( '\ Olf'AAI MIN I 01 lABOR 1951 59 - - - 1969 100 140 1)0 115 120 115 110 105 100 It is expected that food prices will rise at a somewhat faster pace in 1968 home will advance at least 5 percent. than in 1967. Costs of food eaten away from THE FEDERAL MEDICARE PROGRAM . Dr. John Noble, Social Security Administration Medicare has made a good start in its goal of financing high-quality medical care for older citizens within the framework of the existing health care system. The claimsprocessing operation has improved rapidly from the standpoint of both speed and efficiency, as carriers, beneficiaries, and physicians have become more familiar with the program. (Carriers include 33 Blue Shield Plans, 15 commercial insurance companies, an independent insurer, and a State agency.) Medicare has already served its beneficiaries--those 19 million Americans age 65 and over who are covered under the hospital insurance part and the 17.7 million who are enrolled in the voluntary medical insurance part--to a substantial degree. During the first year,. ending June .30, 1967, $2.5 billion was paid for hospital insurance benefits and $669 million was paid for medical insurance benefits. Hospital admissions for inpatient care numbered 5 million. When this figure is adjusted for readmissions, we estimate that about 4 million received inpatient hospital DECEMBER 1967 17 services the first year. Many who formerly would have been ward patients have a new status--that of semiprivate patients who, if they wish, can have services performed by physicians of their own choice. Many have gained a peace of mind which cannot be measured, in the knowledge that Il).edical expenses will not result in serious depletion of savings or require financial assistance from children. For medical care, over 14 million bills were paid for services performed by physicians, independent laboratories, and other providers of benefits. Of these bills, over 90 percent were for physicians' services. For services provided by home health agencies, Medicare received 228, 000 "start of care" notices--about 70 percent under the medical insurance and 30 percent under the hospital insurance program. During the year 450, 000 bills for home health services were paid. From January 1, 1967--when the extended care benefit became effective--to June 30, there were 199, 000 admissions to extended care facilities, and 330, 000 bills for extended care services were paid. Home health care and extended care benefits are examples of ways in which Medicare is stimulating the growth of new concepts in health care. These services have existed in the past in some communities but have often been under-utilized. One reason was that few private insurance programs included coverage for such benefits; another was that neither type of service was fully recognized by the professional community. Yet these services are often better suited than hospitals to the health care requirements of patients at successive stages of illness. They can play a major role in relieving hospitals of the burden of expanding staff and facilities to care for persons who do not need the intensive, multifaceted care hospitals are designed and equipped to provide. Hospital services to outpatients are another device for reli,eving pressure on inpatient facilities, and 1. 2 million bills for outpatient services were paid during the first year. This has been a difficult benefit to administer under the present law. Certain legislative changes, we hope, will result in a simplified outpatient hospital benefit and a more manageable claims process. It can fairly be said that Medicare has already had a profound influence on the health community. Most dramatic has been the certifying of facilities for participation and what it has accomplished. To participate in the program, a hospital, extended care facility, home health agency, or independent laboratory must meet conditions designed to assure that it can render quality care, both in terms of its physical environment and the adequacy and professional qualifications of its staff. The fact that the conditions have been met by 6, 800 hospitals, about 4, 000 extended care facilities, 1, 800 home health agencies, and 2, 400 laboratories is a notable achievement. Until July 1, 1966, home health agencies in most communities furnished only visiting nurses' services. One condition of their participation in the Medicare program is that they must provide at least one additional health service beyond visiting nurses 1 care, such as physiotherapy and home health aide services. All of the 1,800 participating home health agencies--virtually all such agencies in the Nation--now provide at leastone additional service, and nearly two-thirds provide two or more additional services. Since 18 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW these services are not restricted to Medicare beneficiaries, home health care now has a far higher capacity to meet health needs of citizens. Medicare requires all participating institutions to establish a formal method of reviewing all long-stay institutional cases under the program--analyzing admission patterns, lengths of stay, and modes of treatment. Utilization review is usually thought to have one purpose--to assure that institutional care is not excessively used when other levels of care are medically indicated. The educational potential of such data, maintained and used locally by the institution's own medical staff, deserves fully as much attention. While marry hospitals had utilization review committees before, Medicare's provision that all must have such review made a significant change in the health care system. Another important relation between Medicare and the health community is its reimbursement approach. Medicare is committed to paying "reasonable costs" for institutional services and "reasonable charges" for physicians' services. The usual pattern in the health insurance field is to base institutional reimbursement on a fixed fee schedule. Medicare chose to reimburse at a level that would represent, as nearly as possible, the actual costs and the "going rate" of health services. The consequence intended, of course, is that our beneficiaries will receive quality care. If the effect is to inflate the price of care without raising its quality, that would be a deplorable consequence. The financial support Medicare reimbursements will give the health community on a long-term predictable basis will go far in encouraging their own long-range planning for improving health care capacity. Medicare bases reimbursement for a physician's services on his customary charges and prevailing charges within his area of practice. Thus physicians will be assured of fair and equitable reimbursement for the many elderly patients who were treated on a reduced-fee or no-fee basis in the past. Some probable legislative changes that will affect Medicare are: • • • • An optional method of paying physicians' bills will permit payment to be made on the basis of an itemized but unreceipted bill. Outpatient diagnostic services will be transferred from hospital to medical insurance. Pathology and radiology services for hospital inpatients will be exempt from the deductible and coinsurance provisions of medical insurance. Podiatrists 1 services--except routine foot care--will be covered . Initial certification by physicians for hospital admissions and outpatient hospital services will not be required, except for admissions to psychiatric and tuberculosis institutions. An additional 30 days of coverage will be allowed for inpatient hospital service. There will be coinsurance for each of the additional days. Medicare has demonstrated that the Government and the health community can work together well, recognizing their purposes and goals are not really in conflict. The law's DECEMBER 1967 19 administration has affirmed Medicare's basic reason for being: To provide a financing mechanism for a range of services without changing the primacy of the physician's judgment in medical matters. The health community is becoming reassured that Medicare has no intention of encroaching on their professional relationships and has every intention of reimbursing them fairly and equitably. In the final analysis, this growing confidence and rapport between Government and the health community may be one of Medicare's most fundamental achievements. CONTINUING. CONSUMER PROTECTION AT THE FOOD AND DRUG ADMINISTRATION Kate Stahl, Federal Food and Drug Administration Fair Packaging and Labeling Act. --Congress in 1966 gave the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) new regulatory responsibilities for foods, drugs, and cosmetics under the Fair Packaging and Labeling Act. FDA has since been writing separate regulations for foods, for cosmetics, and for over-the-counter drugs and devices. Assessment of their worth may have to wait until July 1968 when all food packages must comply with the regulations unless granted extensions. The Fair Packaging and Labeling Act requires that the net quantity of contents be separately and accurately stated at a uniform location on the principal display panel (that part of the label most likely to be shown or examined under customary conditions of display for retail sale). FDA regulations define the uniform location as the lower 30 percent of the label panel. The contents statement must be in boldface type in lines generally parallel to the base of the package; separated from other printed information; indistinct contrast to its background; and in a type size determined by the area of the panel. Regulations were established for five minimum type sizes: For an area 5 square inches or less ----------------- 1/16 inch in height Over 5 square inches but not more than 25 ----------- 1/8 inch in height Over 25 square inches but not more than 100 --------- 3/16 inch in height Over 100 square inches but not more than 400 -------- 1/4 inch in height Over 400 square inches ---------------------------- 1/2 inch in height Quantity is given in fluid measure if the food is a liquid and in dry weight if it is a solid or a mixture of solid and liquid. The declaration must state accurately the quantity of food in the package, not including packaging material. However, the propellant in a food for use under pressure (for example, whipped cream) may be included. The regulations give the temperatures at which frozen foods, refrigerated foods, and other foods are to be measured. 20 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW The net contents of packages containing 1 pound but less than 4 must be declared in total ounces followed by pounds and ounces or pounds and common or decimal fractions of a pound. Packages with liquid contents of 1 pint but less than 1 gallon must also carry a dual declaration. Examples are-- Net weight 24 ounces (1 lb. 8 oz.) or Net weight 24 ounces ( 1 1/2 lbs.) or Net weight 24 ounces ( 1. 5 lbs.) Net contents 56 ~1. oz. ( 1 qt. 1 1/2 pts.) or Net contents 56 fl. oz. (1 qt. 1 pt. 8 fl. oz.) A label that says anything about servings must also say how much is in each serving. FDA regulations specify that the quantity of each serving must be shown in the same size type immediately next to the serving statement. For example: 2 servings .... 2 oz. each. The common or usual name of the product must appear as a principal feature on the display panel, generally parallel to the base of the panel. If the product could be offered in more than one form--for example, sliced or whole--the form in the package must be stated or shown by illustration, or it may be visible through the package. The ingredients must be listed by their usual or common name on a single panel of the label in decreasing order of predominance. A statement of the proportion of a particular expensive ingredient significant to consumers making value comparisons may be required. The corporate name and the address of the manufacturer, packer, or distributor must be given. The ZIP code number will be required on any new labels designed in the future. FDA is now reviewing the comments of the drug, device, and cosmetic industries on its proposed regulations for them. Proposals for packaging and labeling cosmetics considered the fact that many cosmetics are sold in small, decorative packages. Final regulations will make provision for these and at the same time provide the information consumers need to make value judgments. Drug Abuse Control Amendments. --Another area of consumer protection under FDA is the result of concern over the widespread abuse of dangerous drugs--depressants, stimulants, and hallucinogens. The Drug Abuse Control Amendments were passed in 1965 and became effective as of February 1966. FDA's Bureau of Drug Abuse Control has 9 field offices. Some 300 trained agents are empowered to seize illegal supplies of the controlled drugs, serve warrants, and arrest persons illegally making or distributing dangerous drugs. The law requires legal handlers of such drugs to keep records of supplies and sales. No prescription more than 6 months old for controlled drugs can be filled, nor can it be refilled more than five times. The law provides criminal penalties for those engaged in illegal drug traffic but not for users. Child Protection Act.--The Child Protection Act of 1966 amended the Federal hazardous Substances Labeling Act of 1960. The new law includes but is not restricted to labeling. It covers household-sized products of potentially dangerous substances, such 21 DECEMBER 1967 as laundry supplies, drain cleaners, bleaches, and paint thinners; and many do-it-yourself products such as chemicals for photo labs, antifreeze, and fuels. Household-size containers of these substances must carry a conspicuous label to warn of the potential danger and to provide safety information. If the product is highly toxic, corrosive, or flammable, the word "DANGER" must appear on the label. If it is so toxic a small amount would cause death, it must have both DANGER and POISON conspicuously on the label. For some, the skull and crossbones symbol is also required. All other products covered by the Hazardous Substances Act must display the word W ~NG or CAUTION. The hazard has to be described: e. g., FLAMMABLE, VAPOR HARMFUL, CAN BE ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, CAUSES BURNS. The label must list the hazardous ingredients and tell what to do or not to do in case of injury. In addition to first aid directions when necessary, the label will say: CALL A PHYSICIAN IMMEDIATELY. It must also warn: KEEP OUT OF THE REACH OF CHILDREN. The name and address of the manufacturer, packer, or distributor is required so antidote information can be obtained in an emergency. FDA can recall, ban, or seize items considered too hazardous for common use. SOME NEW USDA PUBliCATIONS (Please give your ZIP code in your return address when you order these.) Single free copies of the following are available from the Consumer and Food Economics Research Division, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Federal Center Building, Hyattsville, Maryland 20782: FOOD CONSUMPTION OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE UNITED STATES, SPRING 1965--A Preliminary Report. ARS 62-16. NUTRITIONAL REVIEW (Reprinted from National Food Situation, November 1967). CFE (Adm. )-299-2. Single free copies of the following are available from the Office of Information, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, D.C. 20250: MILK IN FAMILY MEALS: A Guide for Consumers. HG No. 127. LAMB IN FAMILY MEALS: A Guide for Consumers. HG No. 124. SANITATION IN HOME LAUNDERING. HG No. 97. Revised 1967. HOW TO BUY FRESH FRUITS. HG No. 141. HOW TO BUY CHEDDAR CHEESE. HG No. 128. The following are for sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402, at the prices given: 22 OUTDOORS USA--The Yearbook of Agriculture 1967. $2. 75. SCIENCE AND CONSUMERS: The Story of How Agricultural Research Serves You. AIB No. 322. 25 cents. HANDBOOK OF AGRICULTURAL CHARTS, 1967. AH No. 348. 45 cents. FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW CONSlMER PRICES Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (including single workers) (1957-59 = 100) Group All items ----------------------------Food ----------------~--------------- Food at home Food away from home --------------- Housing ----------------------------Shelter --------------------------- Rent Homeownership ------------------Fuel and utilities ---------------Fuel oil and coal --------------Gas and electricity ------------Household furnishings and operation Apparel and upkeep -----------------Men's and boys' ------------------Women's and girls' ---------------- Footwear -------------------------- Transportation ---------------------- Private --------------------------- Public ---------------------------- Health and recreation --------------Medical care ---------------------Personal care --------------------Reading and recreation -----------Other goods and services ---------- Oct. 1966 114.5 115.6 113.8 125.2 112.2 115.5 111.0 117.4 108.1 108.3 108.0 106.1 111.5 111.5 107.5 122.2 114.3 112.3 129.6 120.4 130.4 113.3 118.0 115.9 Aug. 1967 116.9 116.6 113.9 130.3 114.7 118.4 112.6 120.8 109.1 111.7 108.5 108.3 113.8 114.5 108.8 126.0 116.4 114.4 132.8 124.2 137·5 116.1 120.0 118.8 Sept. 1967 117.1 115.9 112.9 130.8 115.0 118.7 112.8 121.1 109.4 112.3 108.9 108.8 115.1 115.5 111.1 126.4 116.8 114.8 133.0 124.9 138.5 116.4 120.5 119.7 Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Index of Prices Paid by Farmers for Family Living Items (1957-59 = 100) Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Item 1966 1967 1967 1967 1967 1967 All items ----------------- 111 112 113 113 113 113 Food and tobacco -------- - 116 - - 116 - Clothing ---------------- - 122 - - 124 - Household operation ----- - 112 - - 113 - Household furnishings --- - 98 - - 99 - Building materials, house - 106 - - 108 - Autos and auto supplies - 104 108 - - 108 110 Oct. 1967 117.5 115.7 112.6 131.4 115.3 119.0 113.0 121.5 109.4 112.5 108.9 109.1 116.0 116.1 112.7 127.1 117.7 115.7 133.0 125.5 139.0 116.5 121.4 120.3 Nov. 1967 114 - -- -- 110 Source: u.s. Department of Agriculture, Statistical Reporting Service. DECEMBER 1967 23 COST OF FOOD AT HOME Cost of food at home estimated for food plans at three cost levels, September 1967, U.S. average ~ Sex -age groups y FAMILIES Family of 2: 20 to 35 years 3/---- 55 to 75 years 2/---- Family of 4: Preschool children 4/ School children L/-~- INDIVIDUALS 6/ Children, under 1 year 1 to 3 years --- ---- - 3 to 6 years -------- 6 to 9 y ears -------- Girls , 9 to 12 years -- 12 to 15 years ------ 15 to 20 years -----Boys , 9 to 12 years --- 12 to 15 years ------ 15 to 20 years ------ Women, 20 to 35 years - 35 to 55 years ------ 55 to 75 years ------ 75 years and over --Pregnant -----------Nursing ------------- Men, 20 to 35 years --- 35 to 55 years ~----- 55 to 75 years ------ 75 years and over --- I Cost f or 1 week Low-costl Mode rate~ ~ Liberal plan cost plan ·plan Dollars 15.50 12.90 22.70 26.10 3.10 4.00 4.60 5 . 50 6 .30 7.00 7 .30 6.50 7 -50 8.80 6 .60 6 .30 5.40 4.90 7 .90 9 .10 7 .50 6.90 6 .30 5-90 Dollars 20.60 17.40 30.00 34.80 4.10 5 .10 6.20 7 .40 8 . 50 9.40 9.50 8 .70 10 .30 11.60 8 .70 8 .40 7.30 6.50 10 .20 11 .70 10 .00 9 .30 8 .50 8 .20 Dollars 24 .00 19.80 34.80 4o.6o 4.30 5 -90 7 .10 8 .80 9.50 10.90 10.80 10.00 11.70 13 .30 10.00 9 .70 8 .30 7.60 '' l I I ! I 11.50 13.00 i 11.80 ! 10.80 ! 9.70 ! 9 .40 j Cost for 1 month Low -cost plan Dollars 66 .90 55.60 98 .00 112.70 13.60 17.10 20 .00 2 3 . 90 27.50 30.10 31.50 28 .00 32.30 37.90 28 . 50 27 .40 23.40 21.30 34.10 39.20 32.30 30.10 27.20 25 .40 Moderate -lLiberal cost plan plan Dollars 89 .30 75-50 130.20 150.80 17.60 . 22.30 26 .80 32 .10 36.90 40.70 41 .30 37.60 44.50 50.40 37.90 36.50 31.70 28 .20 44.20 50.80 43 .30 40.30 36.90 35.60 Dollars 103.90 85.90 150.60 175.80 18.80 25.50 30.70 38 .30 41.20 47.10 46.80 43.10 50 .50 57.60 43.30 41.80 36.00 32 .90 49 .70 56.30 51.10 46.70 42.10 4o.6o 1/ Estimates computed from q,uantities in food plans published in FAMILY ECONO~ CS REVIEW, October 1964 . Costs of the plans were first estimated by using average price per pound of each food group paid by nonfarm survey families at 3 income levels in 1955. These prices were adjusted to current levels by use of Retail Food Prices by Cities , released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2/ Persons of the first age listed up to but not including the second age . ~ Ten percent added for family size adjustment. For derivation of factors for adjustment, see Family Food Plans and Food Costs, USDA, HERR No . 20 . ~ Man and woman, 20 to 35 years; children 1 to 3 and 3 to 6 years . 5/ Man and woman, 20 to 35 years; child 6 to 9, and boy 9 to 12 years . S/ Costs given for persons in families of 4. For other size families , adjust thus : 1-person, add 20 percent; 2-person, add 10 percent; 3-person, add 5 percent; 5-person, subtract 5 percent; 6-or-more person, subtract 10 percent . 24 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW » U.S. CDVilUUENT PIU!ITING OFHC!z tl967 JOl-75~ (ARS-117>,
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Title | Family Economics Review [1967, Number 4] |
Date | 1967 |
Contributors (group) |
Institute of Home Economics (U.S.) United States. Agricultural Research Service Consumer and Food Economics Research Division Consumer and Food Economics Institute (U.S.) United States Science and Education Administration United States. Agricultural Research Service United States Agricultural Research Service Family Economics Research Group |
Subject headings | Home economics--Accounting--Periodicals |
Type | Text |
Format | Pamphlets |
Physical description | 8 v. ; $c 27 cm. |
Publisher | Washington, D.C. : U.S. Institute of Home Economics, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture |
Language | en |
Contributing institution | Martha Blakeney Hodges Special Collections and University Archives, UNCG University Libraries |
Source collection | Government Documents Collection (UNCG University Libraries) |
Rights statement | http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/NoC-US/1.0/ |
Additional rights information | NO COPYRIGHT - UNITED STATES. This item has been determined to be free of copyright restrictions in the United States. The user is responsible for determining actual copyright status for any reuse of the material. |
SUDOC number | A 77.708:967/4 |
Digital publisher | The University of North Carolina at Greensboro, University Libraries, PO Box 26170, Greensboro NC 27402-6170, 336.334.5482 |
Full-text | \ I I ,, ~I v B ' Vf ~ ~ MICS EW Consumer and Food Economics Research Division Agricultural Research Servic•~ UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE lliill!lliillmlillliiillilm~IIR ANNUAL OUTLOOK ISSUE CONTENTS D447A .Uf?Of.-Er;ry OF Tl w UPP4?•.· 'A.~ 115 l!:Jod UI'.Jvt.,:cny Of- I L. Page AT G-n-L£.N 5b'O"R u '' 1~l.JLI', , A THE CONTENTS OF THIS ISSUE -------------------------------- 3 CONSUMPTION, PRICES, AND EXPENDITURES FOR FOOD------- 3 HOUSEHOLD USE OF CONVENIENCE FOODS -------------------- 6 PROTECTING CONSUMERS THROUGH RESEARCH---------------- 8 EXPENDITURES FOR FOOD AWAY FROM HOME----------------- 10 A STATE PROGRAM OF CONSUMER PROTECTION--------------- 12 TRENDS IN RETAIL PRICES ----------------------------------- 15 THE FEDERAL MEDICARE PROGRAM -------------------------- 17 CONTINUING CONSUMER PROTECTION AT THE FOOD AND DRUG ADMINISTRATION------------------------------------------ 20 SOME NEW USDA PUBLICATIONS ------------------------------ 22 CONSUMER PRICES --------------~---------------------------- 23 COST OF FOOD AT HOME --- ---------------------------------- 24 ARS 62-5 December 1967 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW is a quarterly report on research of the Consumer and Food Economics Research Division and on information from other sources relating to economic aspects of family living. It is developed by Dr. Emma G. Holmes, research family economist, with the cooperation of other staff members of the Division. It is prepared primarily for home economics agents and home economics specialists of the Cooperative Extension Service. THE CONTENTS OF THIS ISSUE This issue of FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW includes condensed versions of several papers presented at the 45th Annual Agricultural Outlook Conference, which was held in Was_hington, D. C,, November 13 to 16, 1967. If you wish the complete text of any of the papers, send your request to the Consumer and Food Economics Research Division, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Federal Center Building, Hyattsville, Maryland 20782. Please give the titles of the papers desired, and include your ZIP code number with your return address. The following Outlook Conference papers, not included in this issue, may be of interest to home economists. Single free copies may be obtained from the address given above. PRACTICES IN THE USE OF HOME FREEZERS, by Ruth Redstrom, USDA NEW BLS STANDARD BUDGETS AND LIVING COST INDEXES, by Helen H. Lamale, U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN MEAT INSPECTION, by Robert K. Somers, USDA FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION CONSUMER PROTECTION ACTIVITIES, by Gale P. Gotschall, Federal Trade Commission HIGHWAY SAFETY, by Werner Siems, U.S. Department of Transportation PEOPLE IN CHANGING RURAL AMERICA--WHAT IS AHEAD? by Max F. Jordan, USDA NATIONAL ECONOMIC SITUATION AND OUTLOOK FOR 1968, by John W. Kendrick, George Washington University A NEW LOOK AT THE WORLD FOOD SITUATION, by Martin E. Abel, USDA CONSUMPTION, PRICES, AND EXPENDITURES FOR FOOD Stephen J. Hiemstra, U.S. Department of Agriculture Food Expenditures and Prices Food expenditures in 1967 are expected to total about $96-1/2 billion, up from $93 billion in 1966. Much of the increase is due to higher volume of purchases, with only a small increase in prices. In 1968, a similar gain in expenditures is likely, due mostly to price increases with little increase in volume. Retail food prices rose 2 percent during third quarter 1967. The increase more than offset the decline that set in late in 1966 and carried into the second quarter of 1967. Third-quarter food prices averaged about 1 percent higher in 1967 than in 1966. All of the price increase was due to 5-percent higher prices for food away from home. DECEMBER 1967 3 Prices at food stores were practically the same as a year earlier. On balance, food prices likely will average about stable or perhaps even slightly higher in the fourth quarter than in the third quarter. For 1967 as a whole, retail prices in food stores are averaging about steady with 1966. Prices for all livesto.ck food products are averaging about 1 percent lower than in 1966. Prices are substantially lower for eggs, poultry, and pork products, but higher for dairy products and fish (fig. 1). Prices for food from crops are averaging about 1 percent higher than in 1966. Higher prices for potatoes, fresh fruits, sugar and sweets, and cereal and bakery products are more than offsetting lower prices for processed citrus fruits, coffee, and fats and oils (fig. 2). Prices for food purchased in restaurants and other away-from-home establishments are averaging about 5 percent higher than in 1966. These prices represent about one-fifth of the total retail Food Price Index. Overall food prices are advancing about 1 percent in 1967, compared with a more than 3 percent increase for nonfood consumer items. Retail food prices likely will increase noticeably in 1968, reflecting some increase in prices for farm products and advances in farm-retail margins. These margins stabilized during the first three quarters of 1967 at about 1 percent below the fourth quarter 1966 level. However, widening farm-retail margins are likely in 1968 because of expected increases in wages and prices for other factor inputs of food marketing firms. Uncertainties about the volume of farm marketings and amount of increase in nonfood prices make it difficult to tie down a precise estimate of food prices in 1968. The best estimate at this time indicates a rise of 2 to 3 percent from 196 7. This implies little change in output of food and an increase in nonfood consumer prices of around 3 percent. Supply and Utilization of Farm Food Commodities Total civilian food use in 1967 is advancing more than 2 percent from the 1966 level. Military food takings also are larger but exports and nonfood uses are declining. Utilization of farm commodities in 196 7 likely will total about the same as in 1966. Use of crop food products is less than in 1966, but use of livestock products is much larger. While total utilization of farm food commodities has been stable in 1967, net production is expanding about 7 percent. Larger imports also are contributing to supplies. Consequently, total stocks of food at the end of December likely will be about one-tenth larger in 1967 than in 1966, and slightly above the 1965 level. Total use of farm food is expected to turn up again in 1968. Most of the increase is expected to be for crop foods, reflecting in part the large carryover from 1967 crops. Exports are expected to expand and military food takings again may be larger, leaving civilian food use in 1968 not much different from the 1967 level. 4 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW Per Capita Food Consumption Per capita food consumption is increasing about 11/2 percent in 1967, but little change is expected in 1968. Consumption in 1967 is much larger than in 1966 for beef, pork, poultry, eggs, citrus fruits, potatoes, and fresh vegetables. Per capita consumption is not likely to be larger in 1968 for any of these products except chicken. Consumption is lower in 1967 than in 1966 for dairy products, veal, lamb, deciduous fruits, and melons. In 1968 veal and lamb consumption again is expected to decline. Per capita consumption in 196 7 is totaling around 1, 434 pounds on a retail weightequivalent basis, 12 pounds more than in 1966. Consumption is averaging about 3, 180 calories per capita per day. The increase in consumption is resulting in a per capita increase of 3 percent in vitamin A value and 5 percent in ascorbic acid. Part of the increase in food consumption in 1967 is due to an increase in donation programs. The USDA direct food distribution program alone is accounting for about 1 pound of the 12- pound increase. RETAIL FOOD PRICES: RET All FOOD PRICES: SELECTED LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS SELECTED CROP PRODUCTS ~1950-------.-------.-------.-------, ~ OF 1950 160 140 120 100 1!. 80 1960 1965 1970 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 NUl. Uti H7t · 47 t 10 ) ECONOMIC llfUAII:CH U II \l iC E L.,.U;:•; _L:c..:.;OI:;".:;':..':.":c:;;"_';'_:O;;_:A': O:;~:cC::U_'::T_U:;O;.I: ______..: c• ;_·..":;_c":...;.':;".: _·_"::..:"..;_':.:1_ :•:.<.:O.:;::_O;MM:;".: _.::."':.'.:.•::":.::";_:";:;'_"::':"::. .J Fig. 1 Fig. 2 Consumption of livestock products in the first 3 quarters was 3 percent larger in 1967 than in 1966. Meat, poultry, and eggs each participated in the rise. Meat consumption likely is dropping nearer to the year-earlier level in the fourth quarter. In 1968 it may average around the 1967 level. Broiler meat consumption likely will continue above 1967 levels throughout 1968, but turkey consumption likely will be lower. Sharp price declines for eggs are resulting in a cut in the egg-laying flock, so per capita egg consumption likely will be lower in the second half of 1968. Milk production in 1967 is totaling about the same as in 1966, but consumption of fluid milk and most other dairy products is continuing significantly lower. The drop is a reaction to higher retail prices and a continuing decline in demand. Little further decline is expected in consumption of dairy products in 1968. USDA donations of dairy DECEMBER 1967 5 products were increased considerably in 196 7 when stocks of manufactured dairy products accumulated at support price levels. Per capita consumption of fruits in 196 7 is well above that in each of the previous 4 years, due primarily to a much larger citrus crop. Most deciduous fruit crops were down in 1967, and a smaller crop of citrus fruits is in prospect this winter. As a result, supplies of fruit this winter are expected to be smaller. Higher prices are likely for most items, both fresh and processed. HOUSEHOLD USE OF CONVENIENCE FOODS Gordon E .. Bivens, U.S. Department of Agriculture This paper discusses changes between 1955 and 1965 in the quantities used and amounts spent for 32 convenience foods. "Convenience foods" here refer to "foods which have services added to the basic ingredients to reduce the amount of preparation required in the home. "Y Changes in Use of Individual Foods The quantity of canned, condensed soups used went up 30percent during the 10-year period, and dehydrated soups 100 percent. Both quantity and expenditure dropped for biscuit, roll, and muffin mixes, but rose for bakery products other than bread. Ready-toeat cereals scored about a 30 percent increase in quantity used in spite of higher prices reflected in the roughly 90 percent increase in expenditure. The quantity of instant coffee used rose 125 percent, while expenditures for it went up only 33 percent, indicating a price responsiveness for this product. Some convenience foods made even larger percentage gains than those above--for example, frozen potatoes, frozen and powdered fruit ades, and fresh commercial juices, all of which tripled or quadrupled in use. However, these items were being consumed in fairly small quantities in 1955 so even a small increase would appear large when expressed as a percent . . !/ The convenience foods included in this analysis were: Canned and frozen fruits and vegetables ; canned, frozen, and fresh fruit juice; canned vegetable juice; frozen, canned, and dehydrated potatoes and sweetpotatoes; potato chips and sticks; ground beef; frankfurters ; other lunch meat; mixtures with and without meat; canned and condensed soups; dry and dehydrated soups; pancake mixes; biscuit, roll, and muffin mixes; cake mixes; bakery bread; other bakery products; ready-to-eat breakfast cereals; instant coffee; frozen and powdered fruit ades and punches; canned and dry milk; frozen desserts; pudding and pie fillings ; and icings. 6 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW Changes in Expenditures for 32 Convenience Foods Changes in expenditures for convenience foods between 1955 and 1965 reflect changes in both price and quantity bought. The average expenditure in a week in spring for the 32 convenience foods combined increased from $6.12 per household in 1955 to $8.13 in 1965 --or 33 percent (fig. 1). The expenditure per person increased from $1. 84 in 1955 to $2.47 in 1965--or 34 percent. During the 10-year period, farm families increased their expenditure per person for convenience foods used in a week more than did urban families--61 and 27 percent, respectively (fig. 2). However, the amount farm families spent for these foods was still considerably less than what urban families spent ( $1. 98 and $2. 58 per person, respectively). EXPENDITURES FOR CONVENIENCE FOODS 1 WEEK IN SPRING Per Household Per Penon IHCLtiOUUCO.WVfHiflf(f 1'"0001. Fig. 1 ~1955 .1965 S8 .13 INCREASE IN SPENDING FOR CONVENIENCE FOODS Per Person , 1955-65 61,; 36,; Fig. 2 DECEMBER 1967 Families in the South increased their spending for convenience foods 56 percent, compared with· 35 percent in the Northeast, 24percent in the NorthCentralRegion, and 23 in the West (fig. 3). In all regions the percentage change was larger in farm than nonfarm areas. Families with low incomes increased their .expenditures for the 32 convenience foods more than higher income families. For those in the lowest one-third of the income scale the increase was about 47percent, compared with a 28 percent increase for families in the highest one-t}lird of the scale. This increase for low-income families may be partly because single-person INCREASE IN SPENDING FOR CONVENIENCE FOODS Per Person by Region , 1955-65 IHCUIOUUCOiflfflll/lll(fiOOOS. /HU:II'IHSI"It/01 (;. Fig. 3 7 households--many of whom have low incomes--were included in the income groupings in 1965 but not in 1955. Expenditures for Convenience Foods as a Percentage of the Food Budget Convenience foods are not just frills, but a substantial and growing part of the food budget.. Expenditures for the 32 convenience foods studied averaged about 27 percent of the total amount spent for food used at home in a week in U.S. households in 1955, and 30 percent in 1965. In urban households convenience foods took 26 percent of the total amount spent for a week's food in 1955 and30percent in 1965;in rural nonfarmhouseholds they took 29and 32 percent, respectively. In farm households the expenditure for convenience foods was 33 and 37 percent of the week's total food bill in the respective years. This does not mean that farmers used more convenience foods than others. But because they raise about 30percent of their food supply, they spend a smaller amount for food, and convenience items are a larger proportion of this expenditure. Convenience Foods in 1965 Spending for convenience foods in 1965 was highly correlated with income--that is, the higher the income the larger the amount spent per person for these foods. However, income affected spending for convenience foods less in 1965 than in 1955. The use of convenience foods is becoming more alike among U. S. regions and urbanizations (urban, rural nonfarm, and farm areas), as is spending for food as a whole. Somewhat of a "homogenization'.' of food patterns seems to be taking place. PROTECTING CONSUMERS THROUGH RESEARCH Robert J. Anderson, U.S. Department of Agriculture USDA has come a long way in consumer protection. We have learned a great deal. But we find that the more we learn, the more we need to know. Salmonella is a case in point. This organism is a common cause of food poisoning. Poultry products are especially vulnerable to contamination, so we have devoted much effort to helping the poultry industry overcome the problem. We developed simplified laboratory tests for detecting salmonella, and methods for pasteurizing dried eggs, egg whites, and whole eggs. In 1966 we made pasteurization mandatory for all egg products moving in interstate commerce. Poultry processors have sought to reduce contamination by using filtered air in their plants and minimizing exposure of products to plant workers. 8 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW These efforts have helped hold down salmonella contamination, but we are going to have to expand our attack. Salmonella organisms are carried by man, animals, birds, even insects. It is doubtful that they can ever be removed from the environment entirely. Our best bet probably is to establish a salmonella-free pathway from farm to market to consumer--to find ways of breaking the cycle by which salmonella organisms perpetuate themselves. Studies conducted in cooperation with industry confirmed that animal feeds, especially those containing animal byproducts, often are contaminated with salmonella. Animals carrying salmonella organisms in their intestines are slaughtered and their intestines are sent to a rendering plant to be added to feed. If the rendered products are not completely free of salmonella, the disease chain goes on. USDA is currently inspecting rendering plants in various States. Soon it will issue standards recommending sanitary procedures for feeds and feed ingredients, and requiring product testing in rendering and feed-processing plants. USDA and the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare have asked the National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council to conduct a thorough study of salmonella to determine its economic significance in terms of animal and human health, the principal carriers, and new methods of preventing contamination. Another problem causing increasing concern is avian leukosis. Leukosis infections in poultry flocks have been rising steadily. In past months USDA inspectors in the big poultry-producing regions of the Southeast have had to condemn about 3 percent of the birds sent to market--about one-fourth of these for avian leukosis. Although avi~ leukosis is a form of cancer, it is not one that can be transmitted to man. Federal regulations require that birds infected with any disease be kept off the market, and condemnations are being made on that basis--not because of the nature of the disease. Other USDA research affecting consumers is the work on mycotoxins, which are poisons produced by molds. No one paid much attention to them until 6 years ago, when moldy peanut meal fed to turkeys in England killed about 100, 000 of the birds. We now know that mycotoxins are poisonous if taken in large amounts and cause cancer tumors if taken over a period of time even in small amounts. Mycotoxins have been detected on many crops, but most often on peanuts. USDA, the Food and Drug Administration, and th.e peanut industry have worked together to develop methods for detecting toxic peanuts and keeping them from use as food or feed. A manmade health hazard we've all heard about is pesticides. The immediate problems of pesticide use are now generally understood but less is known about the longterm effects. We are working to fill that gap in knowledge. There can be little question that pesticides are here to stay. Therefore USDA's goal must be absolute protection from pesticide contamination and total elimination of pesticide accidents. One way USDA helps insure pesticide safety is by registration of pesticides. All pesticides sold across State lines must be registered with USDA. Manufacturers must prove the safety and worth of a material before it is ever marketed. 9 DECEMBER 1967 USDA also oversees labeling of pesticide products. Recent regulations require that warning and caution statements be prominently placed on the front panel of the labels, printed in specified type sizes, and written in language that is easy to understand. The new regulations also require the USDA registration number on labels, so the buyer knows he's getting a federally regulated product. These labeling regulations became effective 1 year ago. Since then, all labels requiring USDA sanction have been reviewed. USDA took the lead in the creation of what is now the Federal Committee on Pest Control. This committee reviews the pest-control plans of all Federal agencies, including USDA's cooperative programs. One result of cooperative Federal efforts is more complete reporting and investigation of accidents involving pesticides. The resulting data help identify weaknesses in research and educational programs. At USDA's request, also, the National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council has agreed to review the use of and need for persistent pesticides. Another problem is the accumulation of animal wastes around large feedlots and dairy operations. These wastes give off offensive odors, cause stream pollution, and may be reaching ground water supplies. USDA scientists are studying the problem and hope to find answers that will satisfy both the feedlot operator and his neighbors. USDA's relationships with other Government agencies on projects involving human health have always been rather informal. Now we have proposed that USDA, the Department of the Interior, and the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare establish a Federal Committee on Food Safety, with joint responsibility for the wholesomeness of the Nation's food. If this committee is approved, we hope it will review and make recommendations on present problems, anticipate future problems, speed up exchange of information between the Departments, and encourage exchange among international, Federal, and State agencies. The committee could become a clearinghouse for such problems as bacterial contamination, chemical residues in foods, and environmental pollution of food and feed. EXPENDITURES FOR FOOD AWAY FROM HOlVIE Corinne LeBovit, U.S. Department of Agriculture Of the approximately $30 billion spent in a year for food and beverages served away from home, about six-tenths are spent in such places as restaurants, lunchrooms, cafeterias , and refreshment stands; two-tenths (in retail prices) in institutions such as hospitals, colleges, homes for the aged or children, and camps; one-tenth in hotels and motels; and one-tenth in places like drug and department stores, delicatessens, movies, private clubs, and factories. 10 FAMILY ECO.NOMICS REVIEW Trends in Expense for Eating Out The total consumer bill for food bought and eaten away from home (including alcoholic beverages) has risen rapidly. Expenditure per person increased steadily since the early 1950's, accelerating after 1963. When these expenditures are expressed in constant dollars, however, the per person amount decreased up to 1961 but increased steadily after 1963. The 1966 average was slightly above the earlier peak of 1953. Prices for eating out rose faster than expenditures up to the mid-1960's. Prices of meals in public eating places are greatly affected by nonfood costs such as wages and salaries, rents and other property costs, taxes, maintenance, and equipment. The proportion of total consumer expenditure for food and beverages that went for meals and other food and beverages eaten out, according to Department of Commerce data, was about 20 percent over most of the period since 1953--though it has increased some since 1964. Apparently families adjusted to higher prices by keeping fairly constant the percentage of the food dollar spent for eating out. According to two national food consumption surveys of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, families spent an average of about $6 a week in the spring of 1965 and $5 a week in the spring of 1955 on food and beverages bought and eaten away from home. This would be $97 per person for the year 1965 and $74 for 1955, assuming spending in other seasons was the same as in spring. (Eating out was probably somewhat understated in the surveys because ( 1) households in which no one had eaten at least 10 meals at home during the week were not interviewed; (2) less eating out may have been done in spring when the data were collected than in other seasons; and (3) the person interviewed may have underreported how much other family members spent.) Mostof theincreasedspending for food away from home between 1955 and 1965 was for meals, little of it for snacks. The proportion of families reporting snacks bought and eaten away from home decreased from 6 out of 10 in 1955 to about 5 out of 10 in 1965. However, consumption of snack-type foods at home increased. Households reported considerably higher home consumption in 1965 of soft drinks, punches and ades, potato chips, crackers, cookies, doughnuts, ice cream, candy, and peanut butter. The move to the suburbs, increased proportion of children in the population, and popularity of TV may have led to a shift from snacking at the candy store and lunch counter to snacking at home. Differences Among Population Groups Urban-rural differences. --Urban families spent a larger amount and a higher percentage of their food dollar for meals away from home than did farm families, in both 1965 and 1955 (see fig.). However , farm families more than doubled their expenditure for meals out during this period, while city-dwellers increased it by one-fourth. Thus, farm family spending for food away from home was much more like that of urban fami-lies in 1965 than in 1955. DECEMBER 1967 11 Regional differences. --Spending for meals away from home in 1965 was highest in the Northeast and West, lowest in the South. About the same ·proportion of households in each of the regions bought such meals in a week (55 to 60 percent). Therefore, the higher expenditures in . Northeast and West meant that these families either bought more meals or more expensive meals. Southern families increased their spending for meals eaten out much more than those in other regions between 1955 and 1965. Their spending. rose about 75 COST OF MEALS EATEN OUT, IY URIANIZATION, 1955 AND 1965 Per Household per Week, Spring $5.10 ·-- lULU MOMFAIM U .S7 ~1965 ~1955 $UI percent, compared with 30percent in the Northeast and West and 20 percent in the North Central Region. Income differences. --High-income families not only spent more than low.:..income families for food away from home, but also allotted a larger proportion of their food dollar to it. Eating out took 26 percent of the food and beverage dollar of those with incomes over $10, 000, compared with 9 percent for those with less than $3, 000. Highincome families spent about 10 times as much for meals eaten out but less than 5 times as much for snacks as did low-income families. Meals Without Direct Expense About one-third of U.S. families had some free meals during the survey week in spring 1965. Most of these meals were received as guests in other people's homes, some as guests at public eating places. They also included meals paid from expense accounts and those received free at work or school. The proportion of families reporting free meals was highest in rural nonfarm areas, lowest on farms. Somewhat more one-person than larger households reported receiving free meals. A STATE PROGRAM OF CONSUMER PROTECTION Faith Prior, University of Vermont In 1963 it occurred to me that the most useful thing I could do in my job was to bring myself and the people for whom I had an educational responsibility up to date in consumer awareness, and to establish some mechanism for getting information to the public. It was not easy to sell a traditionally production-oriented agency the idea of a 12 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW consumer-oriented function. However,. we were fortunate in receiving the University's support . . The administration was willing to try the project on an experimental basis and chart the rest of the course from there. The original proposal was for the establishmentof a Consumer Information Clearinghouse. The proposal listed the objectives of the clearinghouse thus: 1. To publish a monthly newsletter for the Extension staff and a bimonthly publication for the general public. 2. To serve as a clearinghouse for the referral of consumer problems to other agencies, or to suggest suitable lines of action in problem situations. 3. To sponsor and arrange a public statewide annual conference on consumer information. 4. To represent the consumer point of view to persons, groups, or agencies; to represent the production and marketing point of view to consumers. We did build in a few safeguards. We established a clearinghouse advisory committee with representatives from medicine, commerce and economics, agriculture, marketing, political science, and the State Food Safety Committee. We arranged that all copy for the newsletter for the public, DOLLARS AND DECISIONS, should be cleared by ' the University's attorney before publication. We have done each of the things we set out to do. Our staff newsletter is called CONSUMER CONFIDENTIAL. DOLLARS AND DECISIONS goes to a mailing list of about 12, 000 bimonthly. We have just held our fourth annual Consumer Day at the University. Last year two counties combined to hold a regional Consumer Day. A second pair of counties joined them this year and it appears that this trend will continue. We have a weekly news column that goes to every paper in the State and to certain other publications, a weekly radio tape, and a monthly TV program. If time permitted, we would go to a weekly TV show, as the response warrants it. I have addressed more than 12,000 people-in-audiences, and the clearinghouse has distributed over 255, 000 publications in the past 4 years. We have answered literally thousands of questions about consumer problems. Some were questions of fact or opinion; some could be referred to a specific agency. For some, there was no answer except, "I'm sorry, there doesn't seem to be anything that can be done, " or "perhaps a private attorney could suggest something." Being in charge of conference programs makes it possible to work as a catalyst for bringing into contact points of view that are--or should be--synergistic. For example, Vermont had no compulsory meat inspection laws. The forum that Consumers Day afforded helped make it possible to move through the legislature a bill remedying this situation. It was also at Consumers Day that the Governor was given a first-hand hearing of the public voice .speaking out on the lack of other statutory protection~ in the c?nsumer field. As a result, the Governor's office asked the Consumer InformatiOn Clearmghouse to draw up legislation which would provide remedies suitable for Vermont. DECEMBER 1967 13 With the approval and cooperation of the Director of Extension this new venture was undertaken, aligning consumer laws that had been enacted in other States with the problems observed in ours, and bringing the various elements within the framework of the Federal Trade Commission Act. The bill as finally drafted was broad in concept, making all "unfair methods of competition in commerce and unfair or deceptive acts or practices in commerce" unlawful. In addition, certain specific practices were cited and remedies provided. For example, the act provides that the buyer may annul an installment sales contract by certified mail postmarked the first business day after the transaction, if he has not received a substantial portion of the goods or services. Whatever amount the buyer had paid on the purchase must be refunded, and any papers indicating an indebtedness must be returned. The act also provides that the holder in due course of evidence of indebtedness in connection with a retail sales transaction should be "subject to all defenses of the buyer which would be available to the buyer in an action on a simple contract. " This was included as a protection to buyers--especially buyers of home improvements who found themselves complaining to the contractor that the aluminum siding job had not been properly completed, only to be told that the contractor was no longer interested because the note had been sold to a bank. The bank, when contacted, would reply that they were in the money business, not the siding business, and that payment was due as scheduled. Under the new law, the bank would be responsible for all terms of the original contract. The act also made bait advertising unlawful. It gave the attorney general authority to restrain prohibited acts, gave the details of such prohibitions, outlined the extent of civil investigation authorized and penalties for falsification of evidence, indicated penalties for noncompliance with injunctions, and provided for cooperation with State's attorneys. The Consumer Information Clearinghouse was designated to "carry out a consumer education program designed to complement the investigative and enforcement duties of the attorney general provided for in this act. " The two bills were first on the desks of legislators in January 1967. All of the news media were used to make the public aware of the intent and content of the bills and the kinds of practices the law was intended to correct. We presented real cases as effectively as possible, also the bills themselves--what each section said and what it meant. I appeared many times before legislative committees and the committee of the whole, on the invitation of the chairmen or of commissioners whose departments would be involved in administering legislation. Testimony was fully reported in press, radio, and TV. On April 17, 1967, the Fair Business Practices Act was passed unanimously and signed into law. Within 10 days the attorney general had proceeded against the first company to have charges brought under the new law. On July 1, 1967, a Consumer Protection Office was opened in Burlington under the direction of an assistant attorney general. We have worked in the close cooperation specified under the new law. Taking July's settled cases as a base, August's settled cases showed an increase of 236 percent and September's almost 300 percent. Our phone calls have dropped about 75 percent during that period. 14 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW We have used all of the media to inform the public of the existence of the potential services of the new office. Appearances in the media have led to many requests to speak to groups. At some of these the assistant attorney general and I have made joint appearances, some we have parcelled out between us. People~ interested. We continue to use our Consumer Day programs to uncover problems that may need official attention. During last month's forums a few such areas were: gaps in the meat inspection law, referral selling, speedometer rollbacks, telephone soliciting, classified directory listings, auto transmissions, backdating of contracts to avoid "next business day" cancellations. County agents uncover problems, refer them to the clearinghouse, and they are passed on to the Consumer Protection Office. Information is also channeled outward through the county offices. Some complaints goto the Federal Trade Commission. FTC attorneys have appeared at every Consumer Day program, and a two-way communication seems to be functioning effectively. Similar relationships exist with the Food and Drug Administration, Post Office Department, Federal Housing, the President's Committee on the Consumer Interest, and Association of Better Business Bureaus; such State departments as Banking and Insurance, Agriculture, Health, Welfare, Taxes, Recreation; and local Chambers of Commerce, Merchants' Bureaus, and Credit Bureaus. TRENDS IN RET AIL PRICES James C. Daugherty, Bureau of Labor Statistics The slowdownin the economyduringlate 1966 and early 1967appears tohave ended. By most indications we are experiencing a resumption of the expansion that began in 1961. This is being accompanied by price increases at rates higher than most authorities consider "acceptable" or "moderate. " Many of us who work with these figures every day fondly--and not altogether in jest--look back upon the early 1960's, when prices were rising less than 1.5 percent a year, as the "good old days." Certainly there is no prospect that that experience will be repeated any time soon. On the other hand, there is no immediate danger that we will have the kind of price inflation we had in the early 1940's or in 1951 after the outbreak of the Korean war. Prices in 1966.--During most of 1966 the economy operated at the highest capacity in more than a decade, and rising demand made prices rise considerably (see fig.). Interest rates on home mortgages rose to record levels. Rates for conventional first mortgages on new homes rose from 5. 8 to nearly 6. 5 percent. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) index for mortgage interest rates rose 12.5 percent during 1966. This item accounted for more than one-tenth of the 3.3 percent rise in the all-items Consumer Price Index (CPI). Food prices increased 3.8 percent in 1966. Prices of consumer durables, which had declined in 1965 chiefly as a result of cuts in Federal excise taxes, rose 15 DECEMBER 1967 fractionally. Apparel and footwear prices rose at a faster rate than before, at first because of increased civilian and military demand and later as a reflection of increasing labor costs. Prices of gasoline and cigarettes rose due to "conventional" influences and to rising State and local excise taxes. Service costs increased an average of nearly 5 percent in 1966, and accounted for nearly one-half of the year's change in the CPl. Medical care services jumped about 8 percent, led by an increase of about 16 percent in hospital room rates and 8 percent in physicians' fees. The rise in hospital rates reflected the rise in demand forhospital :Jare and wage increases for nurses, technicians, and custodial and supporting personnel. Other service costs also rose sharply in 1966 and appear to have continued upward to the present. Among those increasing most are home maintenance and repairs, domestic services, laundry and drycleaning, barber and beauty shop services, and movie admissions. This can generally be attributed to the tight labor situation, which enabled service workers to gain substantial wage increases. Prices in 1967 and 1968.--The rise in consumer prices slowed down somewhat between November 1966 and February 1967, gaining 0. 3 percent for the 4-month period. The short-lived stability was due primarily to decreases in food prices, which dropped nearly 2 percent from their mid-1966 high levels. Prices resumed their uptrend in April 1967. During the 6 months ending in September they rose 1.8 percent. The September CPI was 2.6 percent above thatof September 1966. Higher service costs accounted for about two-fifths of the 6-month rise. Apparel prices, which rose more than usual in September, gave a substantial push to the CPl. Food prices advanced 1. 5 percent since March. Prices of consumer durables moved up during most of 1967, led by advances for used cars and furniture. Appliance prices also appear to be edging upward. There seems little doubt that the economy is again moving ahead. The only question is how strong the gain will be in the coming months. Signs point to a moderate growth rather than a sharp upsurge. Consumers have increased their rate of spending during the past several months. However, there are no present indications that they will go on a buying spree anytime soon. While there is not much likelihood of a "demand-pull," chances are that a "costpush" will be dominant in the price picture in the months ahead. Wage increases negotiated during the first 6 months of 1967 averaged 5percent or more annually (over the life of the contracts). The index of labor cost per unit of output in manufacturing is about 7 percent above its spring 1966 level. It is reasonable to expect that some of this increase in wage costs will be reflected in retail prices. In 1968 price increases of the four major components of the CPI will all exceed those of 196 7. Consumer service costs should advance at a slightly higher rate in 1968 than in 1967 and continue to be the dominant factor in the rise in the all-items CPl. Somewhat higher costs for mortgage interest, medical care, personal care, and household services will push these indexes higher. 16 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW Higher apparel prices are likely to come chiefly from increasing costs, although consumer demand will remain high. During 1967 much of the rise in apparel prices has come from widening retail margins. This trend will continue as operating costs increase. Rising labor costs in apparel manufacturing will continue to push manufacturers' prices up. Prices of consumer durables are expected to advance considerably in 1968, reflecting higher costs and gains in demand. Retail prices of appliances, radios, and TV sets are already responding to increases in factory prices. Demand is apparently strong enough to sustain retail price increases for these items. Higher costs at the factory and in distribution will result in higher prices for furniture and tires. New and used car prices will rise at least as much as in 196 7. ,t•.1• I .,'l It 0 0 I) >I-- I CONSUMER PRICE INDEXES: COMMODITIES AND SERVICES ·!seasonally Adjusted! •t .•· '' ,.. •·•~ I - '1 "'\ ~ "' •• , ... . .... ... ol-- . ' ~· v .... " ' ... ' .. .. .. . .. 0 / ' It~ SEIIIICES ...... Vr~~ /.,..,.......... If- [/-"' ,oll-L --~-~~ ~v ~ 01~ 1/...(_~lll!S' :;..~ ,_...:::!-.. IONDUIIILIS LESS FOOD' ' I I L I I) " " II II 10 10 1960 196\ 196' 1961 1964 196'1 \CJ66 \961 1968 UNti(Q SU I( '\ Olf'AAI MIN I 01 lABOR 1951 59 - - - 1969 100 140 1)0 115 120 115 110 105 100 It is expected that food prices will rise at a somewhat faster pace in 1968 home will advance at least 5 percent. than in 1967. Costs of food eaten away from THE FEDERAL MEDICARE PROGRAM . Dr. John Noble, Social Security Administration Medicare has made a good start in its goal of financing high-quality medical care for older citizens within the framework of the existing health care system. The claimsprocessing operation has improved rapidly from the standpoint of both speed and efficiency, as carriers, beneficiaries, and physicians have become more familiar with the program. (Carriers include 33 Blue Shield Plans, 15 commercial insurance companies, an independent insurer, and a State agency.) Medicare has already served its beneficiaries--those 19 million Americans age 65 and over who are covered under the hospital insurance part and the 17.7 million who are enrolled in the voluntary medical insurance part--to a substantial degree. During the first year,. ending June .30, 1967, $2.5 billion was paid for hospital insurance benefits and $669 million was paid for medical insurance benefits. Hospital admissions for inpatient care numbered 5 million. When this figure is adjusted for readmissions, we estimate that about 4 million received inpatient hospital DECEMBER 1967 17 services the first year. Many who formerly would have been ward patients have a new status--that of semiprivate patients who, if they wish, can have services performed by physicians of their own choice. Many have gained a peace of mind which cannot be measured, in the knowledge that Il).edical expenses will not result in serious depletion of savings or require financial assistance from children. For medical care, over 14 million bills were paid for services performed by physicians, independent laboratories, and other providers of benefits. Of these bills, over 90 percent were for physicians' services. For services provided by home health agencies, Medicare received 228, 000 "start of care" notices--about 70 percent under the medical insurance and 30 percent under the hospital insurance program. During the year 450, 000 bills for home health services were paid. From January 1, 1967--when the extended care benefit became effective--to June 30, there were 199, 000 admissions to extended care facilities, and 330, 000 bills for extended care services were paid. Home health care and extended care benefits are examples of ways in which Medicare is stimulating the growth of new concepts in health care. These services have existed in the past in some communities but have often been under-utilized. One reason was that few private insurance programs included coverage for such benefits; another was that neither type of service was fully recognized by the professional community. Yet these services are often better suited than hospitals to the health care requirements of patients at successive stages of illness. They can play a major role in relieving hospitals of the burden of expanding staff and facilities to care for persons who do not need the intensive, multifaceted care hospitals are designed and equipped to provide. Hospital services to outpatients are another device for reli,eving pressure on inpatient facilities, and 1. 2 million bills for outpatient services were paid during the first year. This has been a difficult benefit to administer under the present law. Certain legislative changes, we hope, will result in a simplified outpatient hospital benefit and a more manageable claims process. It can fairly be said that Medicare has already had a profound influence on the health community. Most dramatic has been the certifying of facilities for participation and what it has accomplished. To participate in the program, a hospital, extended care facility, home health agency, or independent laboratory must meet conditions designed to assure that it can render quality care, both in terms of its physical environment and the adequacy and professional qualifications of its staff. The fact that the conditions have been met by 6, 800 hospitals, about 4, 000 extended care facilities, 1, 800 home health agencies, and 2, 400 laboratories is a notable achievement. Until July 1, 1966, home health agencies in most communities furnished only visiting nurses' services. One condition of their participation in the Medicare program is that they must provide at least one additional health service beyond visiting nurses 1 care, such as physiotherapy and home health aide services. All of the 1,800 participating home health agencies--virtually all such agencies in the Nation--now provide at leastone additional service, and nearly two-thirds provide two or more additional services. Since 18 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW these services are not restricted to Medicare beneficiaries, home health care now has a far higher capacity to meet health needs of citizens. Medicare requires all participating institutions to establish a formal method of reviewing all long-stay institutional cases under the program--analyzing admission patterns, lengths of stay, and modes of treatment. Utilization review is usually thought to have one purpose--to assure that institutional care is not excessively used when other levels of care are medically indicated. The educational potential of such data, maintained and used locally by the institution's own medical staff, deserves fully as much attention. While marry hospitals had utilization review committees before, Medicare's provision that all must have such review made a significant change in the health care system. Another important relation between Medicare and the health community is its reimbursement approach. Medicare is committed to paying "reasonable costs" for institutional services and "reasonable charges" for physicians' services. The usual pattern in the health insurance field is to base institutional reimbursement on a fixed fee schedule. Medicare chose to reimburse at a level that would represent, as nearly as possible, the actual costs and the "going rate" of health services. The consequence intended, of course, is that our beneficiaries will receive quality care. If the effect is to inflate the price of care without raising its quality, that would be a deplorable consequence. The financial support Medicare reimbursements will give the health community on a long-term predictable basis will go far in encouraging their own long-range planning for improving health care capacity. Medicare bases reimbursement for a physician's services on his customary charges and prevailing charges within his area of practice. Thus physicians will be assured of fair and equitable reimbursement for the many elderly patients who were treated on a reduced-fee or no-fee basis in the past. Some probable legislative changes that will affect Medicare are: • • • • An optional method of paying physicians' bills will permit payment to be made on the basis of an itemized but unreceipted bill. Outpatient diagnostic services will be transferred from hospital to medical insurance. Pathology and radiology services for hospital inpatients will be exempt from the deductible and coinsurance provisions of medical insurance. Podiatrists 1 services--except routine foot care--will be covered . Initial certification by physicians for hospital admissions and outpatient hospital services will not be required, except for admissions to psychiatric and tuberculosis institutions. An additional 30 days of coverage will be allowed for inpatient hospital service. There will be coinsurance for each of the additional days. Medicare has demonstrated that the Government and the health community can work together well, recognizing their purposes and goals are not really in conflict. The law's DECEMBER 1967 19 administration has affirmed Medicare's basic reason for being: To provide a financing mechanism for a range of services without changing the primacy of the physician's judgment in medical matters. The health community is becoming reassured that Medicare has no intention of encroaching on their professional relationships and has every intention of reimbursing them fairly and equitably. In the final analysis, this growing confidence and rapport between Government and the health community may be one of Medicare's most fundamental achievements. CONTINUING. CONSUMER PROTECTION AT THE FOOD AND DRUG ADMINISTRATION Kate Stahl, Federal Food and Drug Administration Fair Packaging and Labeling Act. --Congress in 1966 gave the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) new regulatory responsibilities for foods, drugs, and cosmetics under the Fair Packaging and Labeling Act. FDA has since been writing separate regulations for foods, for cosmetics, and for over-the-counter drugs and devices. Assessment of their worth may have to wait until July 1968 when all food packages must comply with the regulations unless granted extensions. The Fair Packaging and Labeling Act requires that the net quantity of contents be separately and accurately stated at a uniform location on the principal display panel (that part of the label most likely to be shown or examined under customary conditions of display for retail sale). FDA regulations define the uniform location as the lower 30 percent of the label panel. The contents statement must be in boldface type in lines generally parallel to the base of the package; separated from other printed information; indistinct contrast to its background; and in a type size determined by the area of the panel. Regulations were established for five minimum type sizes: For an area 5 square inches or less ----------------- 1/16 inch in height Over 5 square inches but not more than 25 ----------- 1/8 inch in height Over 25 square inches but not more than 100 --------- 3/16 inch in height Over 100 square inches but not more than 400 -------- 1/4 inch in height Over 400 square inches ---------------------------- 1/2 inch in height Quantity is given in fluid measure if the food is a liquid and in dry weight if it is a solid or a mixture of solid and liquid. The declaration must state accurately the quantity of food in the package, not including packaging material. However, the propellant in a food for use under pressure (for example, whipped cream) may be included. The regulations give the temperatures at which frozen foods, refrigerated foods, and other foods are to be measured. 20 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW The net contents of packages containing 1 pound but less than 4 must be declared in total ounces followed by pounds and ounces or pounds and common or decimal fractions of a pound. Packages with liquid contents of 1 pint but less than 1 gallon must also carry a dual declaration. Examples are-- Net weight 24 ounces (1 lb. 8 oz.) or Net weight 24 ounces ( 1 1/2 lbs.) or Net weight 24 ounces ( 1. 5 lbs.) Net contents 56 ~1. oz. ( 1 qt. 1 1/2 pts.) or Net contents 56 fl. oz. (1 qt. 1 pt. 8 fl. oz.) A label that says anything about servings must also say how much is in each serving. FDA regulations specify that the quantity of each serving must be shown in the same size type immediately next to the serving statement. For example: 2 servings .... 2 oz. each. The common or usual name of the product must appear as a principal feature on the display panel, generally parallel to the base of the panel. If the product could be offered in more than one form--for example, sliced or whole--the form in the package must be stated or shown by illustration, or it may be visible through the package. The ingredients must be listed by their usual or common name on a single panel of the label in decreasing order of predominance. A statement of the proportion of a particular expensive ingredient significant to consumers making value comparisons may be required. The corporate name and the address of the manufacturer, packer, or distributor must be given. The ZIP code number will be required on any new labels designed in the future. FDA is now reviewing the comments of the drug, device, and cosmetic industries on its proposed regulations for them. Proposals for packaging and labeling cosmetics considered the fact that many cosmetics are sold in small, decorative packages. Final regulations will make provision for these and at the same time provide the information consumers need to make value judgments. Drug Abuse Control Amendments. --Another area of consumer protection under FDA is the result of concern over the widespread abuse of dangerous drugs--depressants, stimulants, and hallucinogens. The Drug Abuse Control Amendments were passed in 1965 and became effective as of February 1966. FDA's Bureau of Drug Abuse Control has 9 field offices. Some 300 trained agents are empowered to seize illegal supplies of the controlled drugs, serve warrants, and arrest persons illegally making or distributing dangerous drugs. The law requires legal handlers of such drugs to keep records of supplies and sales. No prescription more than 6 months old for controlled drugs can be filled, nor can it be refilled more than five times. The law provides criminal penalties for those engaged in illegal drug traffic but not for users. Child Protection Act.--The Child Protection Act of 1966 amended the Federal hazardous Substances Labeling Act of 1960. The new law includes but is not restricted to labeling. It covers household-sized products of potentially dangerous substances, such 21 DECEMBER 1967 as laundry supplies, drain cleaners, bleaches, and paint thinners; and many do-it-yourself products such as chemicals for photo labs, antifreeze, and fuels. Household-size containers of these substances must carry a conspicuous label to warn of the potential danger and to provide safety information. If the product is highly toxic, corrosive, or flammable, the word "DANGER" must appear on the label. If it is so toxic a small amount would cause death, it must have both DANGER and POISON conspicuously on the label. For some, the skull and crossbones symbol is also required. All other products covered by the Hazardous Substances Act must display the word W ~NG or CAUTION. The hazard has to be described: e. g., FLAMMABLE, VAPOR HARMFUL, CAN BE ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, CAUSES BURNS. The label must list the hazardous ingredients and tell what to do or not to do in case of injury. In addition to first aid directions when necessary, the label will say: CALL A PHYSICIAN IMMEDIATELY. It must also warn: KEEP OUT OF THE REACH OF CHILDREN. The name and address of the manufacturer, packer, or distributor is required so antidote information can be obtained in an emergency. FDA can recall, ban, or seize items considered too hazardous for common use. SOME NEW USDA PUBliCATIONS (Please give your ZIP code in your return address when you order these.) Single free copies of the following are available from the Consumer and Food Economics Research Division, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Federal Center Building, Hyattsville, Maryland 20782: FOOD CONSUMPTION OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE UNITED STATES, SPRING 1965--A Preliminary Report. ARS 62-16. NUTRITIONAL REVIEW (Reprinted from National Food Situation, November 1967). CFE (Adm. )-299-2. Single free copies of the following are available from the Office of Information, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, D.C. 20250: MILK IN FAMILY MEALS: A Guide for Consumers. HG No. 127. LAMB IN FAMILY MEALS: A Guide for Consumers. HG No. 124. SANITATION IN HOME LAUNDERING. HG No. 97. Revised 1967. HOW TO BUY FRESH FRUITS. HG No. 141. HOW TO BUY CHEDDAR CHEESE. HG No. 128. The following are for sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402, at the prices given: 22 OUTDOORS USA--The Yearbook of Agriculture 1967. $2. 75. SCIENCE AND CONSUMERS: The Story of How Agricultural Research Serves You. AIB No. 322. 25 cents. HANDBOOK OF AGRICULTURAL CHARTS, 1967. AH No. 348. 45 cents. FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW CONSlMER PRICES Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (including single workers) (1957-59 = 100) Group All items ----------------------------Food ----------------~--------------- Food at home Food away from home --------------- Housing ----------------------------Shelter --------------------------- Rent Homeownership ------------------Fuel and utilities ---------------Fuel oil and coal --------------Gas and electricity ------------Household furnishings and operation Apparel and upkeep -----------------Men's and boys' ------------------Women's and girls' ---------------- Footwear -------------------------- Transportation ---------------------- Private --------------------------- Public ---------------------------- Health and recreation --------------Medical care ---------------------Personal care --------------------Reading and recreation -----------Other goods and services ---------- Oct. 1966 114.5 115.6 113.8 125.2 112.2 115.5 111.0 117.4 108.1 108.3 108.0 106.1 111.5 111.5 107.5 122.2 114.3 112.3 129.6 120.4 130.4 113.3 118.0 115.9 Aug. 1967 116.9 116.6 113.9 130.3 114.7 118.4 112.6 120.8 109.1 111.7 108.5 108.3 113.8 114.5 108.8 126.0 116.4 114.4 132.8 124.2 137·5 116.1 120.0 118.8 Sept. 1967 117.1 115.9 112.9 130.8 115.0 118.7 112.8 121.1 109.4 112.3 108.9 108.8 115.1 115.5 111.1 126.4 116.8 114.8 133.0 124.9 138.5 116.4 120.5 119.7 Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Index of Prices Paid by Farmers for Family Living Items (1957-59 = 100) Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Item 1966 1967 1967 1967 1967 1967 All items ----------------- 111 112 113 113 113 113 Food and tobacco -------- - 116 - - 116 - Clothing ---------------- - 122 - - 124 - Household operation ----- - 112 - - 113 - Household furnishings --- - 98 - - 99 - Building materials, house - 106 - - 108 - Autos and auto supplies - 104 108 - - 108 110 Oct. 1967 117.5 115.7 112.6 131.4 115.3 119.0 113.0 121.5 109.4 112.5 108.9 109.1 116.0 116.1 112.7 127.1 117.7 115.7 133.0 125.5 139.0 116.5 121.4 120.3 Nov. 1967 114 - -- -- 110 Source: u.s. Department of Agriculture, Statistical Reporting Service. DECEMBER 1967 23 COST OF FOOD AT HOME Cost of food at home estimated for food plans at three cost levels, September 1967, U.S. average ~ Sex -age groups y FAMILIES Family of 2: 20 to 35 years 3/---- 55 to 75 years 2/---- Family of 4: Preschool children 4/ School children L/-~- INDIVIDUALS 6/ Children, under 1 year 1 to 3 years --- ---- - 3 to 6 years -------- 6 to 9 y ears -------- Girls , 9 to 12 years -- 12 to 15 years ------ 15 to 20 years -----Boys , 9 to 12 years --- 12 to 15 years ------ 15 to 20 years ------ Women, 20 to 35 years - 35 to 55 years ------ 55 to 75 years ------ 75 years and over --Pregnant -----------Nursing ------------- Men, 20 to 35 years --- 35 to 55 years ~----- 55 to 75 years ------ 75 years and over --- I Cost f or 1 week Low-costl Mode rate~ ~ Liberal plan cost plan ·plan Dollars 15.50 12.90 22.70 26.10 3.10 4.00 4.60 5 . 50 6 .30 7.00 7 .30 6.50 7 -50 8.80 6 .60 6 .30 5.40 4.90 7 .90 9 .10 7 .50 6.90 6 .30 5-90 Dollars 20.60 17.40 30.00 34.80 4.10 5 .10 6.20 7 .40 8 . 50 9.40 9.50 8 .70 10 .30 11.60 8 .70 8 .40 7.30 6.50 10 .20 11 .70 10 .00 9 .30 8 .50 8 .20 Dollars 24 .00 19.80 34.80 4o.6o 4.30 5 -90 7 .10 8 .80 9.50 10.90 10.80 10.00 11.70 13 .30 10.00 9 .70 8 .30 7.60 '' l I I ! I 11.50 13.00 i 11.80 ! 10.80 ! 9.70 ! 9 .40 j Cost for 1 month Low -cost plan Dollars 66 .90 55.60 98 .00 112.70 13.60 17.10 20 .00 2 3 . 90 27.50 30.10 31.50 28 .00 32.30 37.90 28 . 50 27 .40 23.40 21.30 34.10 39.20 32.30 30.10 27.20 25 .40 Moderate -lLiberal cost plan plan Dollars 89 .30 75-50 130.20 150.80 17.60 . 22.30 26 .80 32 .10 36.90 40.70 41 .30 37.60 44.50 50.40 37.90 36.50 31.70 28 .20 44.20 50.80 43 .30 40.30 36.90 35.60 Dollars 103.90 85.90 150.60 175.80 18.80 25.50 30.70 38 .30 41.20 47.10 46.80 43.10 50 .50 57.60 43.30 41.80 36.00 32 .90 49 .70 56.30 51.10 46.70 42.10 4o.6o 1/ Estimates computed from q,uantities in food plans published in FAMILY ECONO~ CS REVIEW, October 1964 . Costs of the plans were first estimated by using average price per pound of each food group paid by nonfarm survey families at 3 income levels in 1955. These prices were adjusted to current levels by use of Retail Food Prices by Cities , released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2/ Persons of the first age listed up to but not including the second age . ~ Ten percent added for family size adjustment. For derivation of factors for adjustment, see Family Food Plans and Food Costs, USDA, HERR No . 20 . ~ Man and woman, 20 to 35 years; children 1 to 3 and 3 to 6 years . 5/ Man and woman, 20 to 35 years; child 6 to 9, and boy 9 to 12 years . S/ Costs given for persons in families of 4. For other size families , adjust thus : 1-person, add 20 percent; 2-person, add 10 percent; 3-person, add 5 percent; 5-person, subtract 5 percent; 6-or-more person, subtract 10 percent . 24 FAMILY ECONOMICS REVIEW » U.S. CDVilUUENT PIU!ITING OFHC!z tl967 JOl-75~ (ARS-117>, |
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